Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur 3 May 2026 Prediction

Tottenham’s fight for survival continues. A hard 1-0 win over Wolverhampton kept Spurs in the race, but it came at a major cost. Key attacking players Xavi Simons and Dominic Solanke both picked up injuries.

Roberto De Zerbi’s team now travels to Villa Park to face an Aston Villa side looking to respond after two straight defeats. The question is whether Villa can make Tottenham’s survival fight even harder.

Aston Villa Need a Response

Aston Villa followed a 0-1 Premier League loss to Fulham with a 0-1 away defeat to Nottingham Forest in the Europa League. That result has made Unai Emery’s push for a fifth European trophy much more difficult. In the league, though, Villa remain in a stable position. They start the round eight points ahead of Brighton, so their Champions League place is still well protected.

Because of that, the Europa League is likely to become the main focus, especially with the second leg against Nottingham Forest coming next Thursday. In the Premier League, Villa will soon face Burnley, which looks like a better chance to fully secure a top-five finish.

Tottenham Are Still Dealing With Injuries

Tottenham are fighting themselves as much as their opponents. Injuries have been a major problem for Spurs for more than one season. Analysts recently calculated the transfer value of all unavailable Tottenham players, and the total was €365 million. For context, the most expensive Championship squad this season is valued at less than €200 million.

The win over Wolverhampton was Tottenham’s first Premier League victory since late December. Still, that is not enough for survival. They need to start collecting points consistently. Matches against Leeds, Chelsea, and Everton are still ahead, so it remains unclear whether Spurs can turn things around.

What You Need to Know

• Tottenham have conceded in the first half in 10 of their last 13 matches.
• At least three goals were scored in 10 of the last 12 head-to-head meetings.
• Tottenham have scored in the second half in seven of their last nine away matches.

Predicted Lineup: Aston Villa vs Tottenham

Aston Villa (4-2-3-1): Martinez – Cash, Konsa, Torres, Digne – Bogarde, Tielemans – McGinn, Rogers, Buendia – Watkins

Out: Kamara (injured), Onana, Alisson (both questionable)

Manager: Unai Emery

Tottenham (4-2-3-1): Kinsky – Porro, Danso, Van de Ven, Spence – Bentancur, Bissouma – Kolo Muani, Gallagher, Tel – Richarlison

Out: Kulusevski, Davies, Odobert, Kudus, Romero, Solanke, Sarr, Simons (all injured), Udogie, Vicario (both questionable)

Manager: Roberto De Zerbi

Referee

Samuel Barrott

Barrott does not stop play very often and usually allows a physical style. In four of seven matches involving Aston Villa, he showed no more than three yellow cards. Tottenham matches have been slightly stricter, with at least four yellow cards in three of five.

• 21 Premier League matches officiated in the 2025/26 season
• Average of 3.57 yellow cards and 19.48 fouls per match
• 6 penalties awarded (24%)
• 1 red card shown (5%)

Best Bet: Aston Villa to Win at 2.22

Main pick: Tottenham face Aston Villa at a difficult time. Villa may not have as much league motivation as earlier in the season, but after two away losses, Emery’s team should be focused on responding at home. Villa have won 11 of 17 league matches at Villa Park and have taken 35 points there, the fourth-best home record in the league. They have also won each of the last four meetings with Tottenham. Aston Villa to win at 2.22 is the best option.

Total pick: This matchup has often produced goals, with at least three total goals in 10 of the last 12 meetings. Tottenham’s defense has been unreliable all season, and 10 of their last 14 Premier League matches have gone over the total. Over 2.5 goals at 1.81 is worth considering.

Correct score pick: Tottenham have had attacking problems throughout the season. In 11 of their last 18 away matches, Spurs scored no more than once. With Simons and Solanke now injured, scoring should become even harder. Aston Villa have scored at least two goals in four straight home matches. The correct score pick is 2-1 at 8.00.