Levante UD vs Mallorca 17 May 2026 Prediction

This is a relegation battle in La Liga, which makes Levante vs Mallorca a key match. Both teams have 39 points and remain in a dangerous position.

The reverse fixture ended in a 1-1 draw. In the current situation, a draw is unlikely to satisfy either side, so this should be a direct fight for three points.

Levante Will Not Give Up

Levante does not want to lose its place in the top division. The team has delivered strong results in the final stretch of the season, winning four of its last six league matches. Luis Castro’s side has not only beaten direct relegation rivals. In its last two matches, Levante defeated European contenders Osasuna (3-2) and Celta (3-2).

The hosts have also started creating more dangerous chances at home. Over the last four matches, their expected goals number has increased from 1.76 to 2.45. That helped Levante dominate at home and win four straight matches there. It is also worth noting that those games came against direct rivals in the fight to stay in La Liga.

Mallorca Is Inconsistent

In the previous round, Mallorca lost 3-1 away to Getafe. That result stopped the positive momentum Martin Demichelis’ team had built after the Argentine manager took charge. Just one win in the last five matches is a poor run that has pushed the visitors into a dangerous position in the relegation race.

Away from home, Mallorca has struggled throughout the season. Even the risk of relegation has not led to better focus, as Mallorca has lost seven of its last nine away matches. The main issue is clear: over that stretch, the visitors have conceded 19 goals.

Levante vs Mallorca Predicted Lineup

Levante (4-3-3): Ryan — Toljan, Moreno, De la Fuente, Sanchez — Arriaga, Martinez, Olasagasti — Garcia, Espi, Brugue

Out: Primo, Alvarez (both injured), Elgezabal (doubtful)

Manager: Luis Castro

Mallorca (4-3-1-2): Roman — Maffeo, Valjent, Lopez, Mojica — Costa, Darder, Morlanes — Torre — Luvumbo, Muriqi

Out: Joseph, Raillo, Salas (all injured), Bergstrom, Kumbulla, Kalumba (all doubtful), Mascarell (yellow-card suspension)

Manager: Martin Demichelis

Stats and Trends

• The hosts average 4.17 corners per match in the current La Liga season. Mallorca’s average is 3.58. Under 8.5 total corners is worth considering.
• Mallorca players average 2.14 yellow cards per match in the league, while Levante averages 2.17. Over 3.5 total yellow cards looks interesting.

Levante vs Mallorca Prediction: Levante to Win at 2.15

• Main Pick: This is a six-point match. The losing team will seriously damage its survival chances, so the intensity should be high. We give the edge to the hosts, who have been beating direct rivals one after another at home. After an impressive comeback against Celta (3-2), Castro’s team should also have strong momentum. Mallorca is trending downward, and Mascarell’s suspension is another setback, as he has been important in central midfield. The recommended pick is Levante to win at 2.15.
• Goals Pick: Levante has found a style that is bringing points. The hosts are willing to trade attacks because they have improved their finishing in dangerous positions. At least five goals have been scored in each of Levante’s last three league matches. Mallorca has also seen both teams score in four of its last five matches. The betting option to consider is both teams to score — yes at 1.83.
• Correct Score Pick: The hosts can extend their home winning streak because they have found form at the decisive stage of the season. Levante has averaged 2.2 goals across its last five home matches. Mallorca is struggling to stay afloat and has conceded nine goals in its last five away league games. It is unlikely the visitors will withstand the pressure from Castro’s motivated side. The pick is correct score 2-1 at 9.00.