Predictions by Blake Marks
Yesterday at 08:08
Espanyol Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao
182
WINNER 2. athletic bilbao at the bigger price makes sense here. the market is leaning toward espanyol at home, but athletic usually has enough structure to keep this one from feeling one-sided, and that kind of edge is exactly where value can show up.
Yesterday at 08:13
Stade Brest - Strasbourg Alsace
177
WINNER 1. Brest at home usually has enough edge to make this one closer than the market thinks, and Strasbourg coming off a busy stretch could leave a little value on the home side. At 2.77, the bigger price on W1 looks worth a shot if you expect Brest to keep it tight and nick it.
Yesterday at 08:09
Lens - Paris Saint-Germain
166
HANDICAP 2 (-1). PSG to cover the -1 looks fair here, even if the market is not as one-sided as it first seems. Lens can make it awkward, but Paris usually have enough quality to win by a couple when they get control, so the bigger price has some value.
Yesterday at 08:10
Lazio Rome - Inter Milano
111
HANDICAP 2 (-1). Inter look the stronger side and the market is leaning that way, so the -1 has some value if they control this one. Lazio can make it scrappy, but Inter have the bigger price for a reason and I’d side with the away push.
Today at 08:16
Charlotte - New-York City
218
WINNER 2. Charlotte have the market edge at home, but this one is not as one-sided as the price suggests. NYCFC can nick it if they keep it tight and make the most of the bigger price, so the away win has some value.
Today at 08:19
Cincinnati - Inter Miami
110
WINNER 2. Inter Miami at 2.10 looks like the better value side here, evrn if the market is leaning Cincinnati at home. Miami still have enough attacking punch to make this one not as one-sided as the odds suggest, and in a right MLS spot the bigger price on the away win is worth a look.
Today at 08:20
DC United - Chicago Fire
178
WINNER 1. DC United at home can be a live underdog here, and the market looks a bit generous on them at this price. Chicago Fire make sense as the more fancied side, but this is not as one-sided as the line suggests, so I’d rather side with the bigger price and value on DC United.
Today at 08:22
Colorado Avalanche - Minnesota Wild
180
WINNER 2 (INCLUDING OT AND SHOOTOUTS). Minnesota at plus money has a little value here. Colorado looks like the bigger name, but this matchup has not been as one-sided as the market might want, so the bigger price on the Wild is the contrarian side.
Today at 08:17
San-Diego Zest - Austin
215
HANDICAP 2 (0). austin on a level handicap has a bit of value here. the market may lean san diego at home, but austin have shown they can keep games tight enough to live in this price range, so i’d rather take the bigger number than force the favorite.
Today at 08:23
Real Salt-Lake - Houston Dynamo
206
HANDICAP 2 (0). Houston on a level handicap at the bigger price has some value here. Real Salt Lake at home usually keeps things tight, but this feels more like a one-goal game than a one-sided spot, and Houston can nick a result if it stays low-scoring.
Today at 08:18
Girona - Real Sociedad
136
HANDICAP 2 (0). Real Sociedad 0, level handicap feels fair at the bigger price, not as one-sided as the market says.