Paul Nix

villarreal at home usually keep a good structure, and sevilla away can get dragged into a slower rhythm, so under 2.5 feels a fair price here. i expect pressure, but not too much chaos, with the home side controlling more and the score staying tight.

Strasbourg +0 looks fair, Brest carry pressure at home but the draw is live.

espanyol at home with level handicap looks decent at this price. athletic bring more strength on paper, but espanyol have enough rhythm and home pressure to keep it tight, so a draw or home edge feels very live.

lens at hkme can bring real pressure and psg usually get dragged into a faster rhythm there, so the over 3.5 has some value if the game opens early. with both sides cqpable of pushing the tempo, 2.25 looks like a decent price for goals.

over 3 looks live, final vibe should bring tension and goals, good price.

getafe and mallorca usually bring a tight game, but this one can open a bit more if the rhythm gets broken early. over 2 goals at good price looks fair, because both sides can force pressure and one goal may make the match stretch a little.