MatchesSoccerNapoli - Bologna
ItalySerie A
Napoli
xG 1.02
2 : 3
Finished11 may 18:45
Bologna
1.3 xG
45'Di Lorenzo G.
48'Santos
Bernardeschi F.9'
Orsolini R.34'
Rowe J.90'

Match statistics

Napoli
Bologna
Shots
5off target
on target5
off target5
4on target
52%Ball Possession48%
7Corners1
1Yellow Cards4
4Offsides0
18Throw-ins10
6Goal Kicks7
12Free Kicks9
10Fouls12
1.02Expected Goals (xG)1.3

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Napoli vs Bologna 11 May 2026 Public Opinion

Public Opinion
Main Outcomes 127 predictions
Double Chance 23 predictions
Asian Handicap 137 predictions
Match Total 74 predictions
Both Teams To Score 53 predictions
Teams Totals 51 predictions

Prediction Statistics

26 predictions
11
0
15
-106
Highest winning odds
Over (2.5)
0
experts profit
0
author profit
0
pro profit
-56 600
cappers profit

Napoli vs Bologna 11 May 2026 User Predictions and Betting Tips

Robert B Barnes
10 may at 18:03
-105
UNDER (2.5).
napoli have the stronger home profile, but bologna have been competitive in this matchup and that points to a tighter game than the market might suggest. under 2.5 looks reasonable if napoli control possession without turning it into a track meet, with the price giving enough room for a low-margin, tactical serie a contest.
Theo Jackson
10 may at 17:55
-109
HANDICAP 2 (1).
Napoli’s the side with more edge at home, but Bologna are a live dog. Handicap2 +1 is worth a look.
Xander Gutierrez
10 may at 17:46
-192
UNDER (3).
napoli’s home rhythm and bologna’s ability to keep matches controlled point towards a tighter game than the line suggests. under 3 goals looks the sensible angle, with neither side needing to force the pace too early.
Henry Pugh
10 may at 17:34
-115
OVER (2.5).
napoli and bologna both look capable of getting on the board here and the price on over 2.5 feels good enough. napoli at home usually pushes the tempo and bologna can make it open if they dont just sit back so a 2-1 type game makes sense to me.
Jorge Jones
10 may at 17:27
-105
UNDER (2.5).
Napoli have the stronger home profile, but Bologna have enough structure to keep this from turning wild, so the under 2.5 has a reasonable price. With both sides often more controlled than chaotic in this matchup, a measured low-scoring game looks like the cleaner angle.
Vincent Howes
10 may at 17:19
-192
HANDICAP 2 (1.5).
napoli still carry the cleaner structure at home, but bologna are organised enough to keep this from becoming a wide-margin game. the +1.5 on the away side has some value, as it allows for a narrow napoli win or a tight contest where bologna stay in the frame.
Eddie Lowe
10 may at 17:11
-115
OVER (2.5).
Napoli at home usually brings enough tempo and control to create chances, and Bologna are capable of contributing too, so over 2.5 goals has decent value here. The market feels fair if Napoli push the pace early and the game opens up.
Ronald Cunningham
10 may at 16:58
-105
UNDER (2.5).
Napoli should have enough control at home to keep this one tight, and Bologna are not the sort to be cut open easily. The under 2.5 looks the sensible selection, with a fairly cagey Serie A fixture on the cards.
Sammy Scott
10 may at 16:52
-115
OVER (2.5).
Napoli v Bologna over 2.5 looks a tidy angle, both sides can keep the tempo up and this has goals in it.
John Rowland
10 may at 16:43
-114
HANDICAP 1 (-1).
napoli at home looks the better side here and the -1 line makes sense if they get on top early. bologna can be tricky, but odds are ok for a small play on napoli to win by a couple if they bring the usual pressure.

Standings

# Team
Form
1.Inter Milano
36
27
4
5
85:31
85
2.Napoli
36
21
7
8
54:36
70
3.Juventus Turin
36
19
11
6
59:30
68
4.Milan
36
19
10
7
50:32
67
5.Roma
36
21
4
11
55:31
67
6.Como 1907
36
18
11
7
60:28
65
7.Atalanta
36
15
13
8
50:34
58
8.Bologna
36
15
7
14
45:43
52
9.Lazio Rome
36
13
12
11
39:37
51
10.Udinese Calcio
36
14
8
14
45:46
50
11.Sassuolo Calcio
36
14
7
15
44:46
49
12.Torino
36
12
8
16
41:59
44
13.Parma
36
10
12
14
27:45
42
14.Genoa
36
10
11
15
40:48
41
15.Fiorentina
36
8
14
14
38:49
38
16.Cagliari Calcio
36
9
10
17
36:51
37
17.Lecce
36
8
8
20
24:48
32
18.Cremonese
36
7
10
19
30:53
31
19.Hellas Verona
36
3
11
22
24:58
20
20.Pisa
36
2
12
22
25:66
18
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Europa Conference League
  • Relegation

Recent Matches

Napoli138 matches
20%
1 win
40%
2 draws
40%
2 losses
Bologna149 matches
20%
1 win
20%
1 draw
60%
3 losses

Trends and Streaks in Serie A

-114
Under (2.5)
Bologna has played 8 of their last 10 games on total under 2.5 goals
-119
Team 2 Yellow Cards Over (1.5)
Bologna has played 8 of their last 10 away matches on individual total over 1.5 yellow cards
Bologna has played 12 of their last 15 away matches on individual total over 1.5 yellow cards
Bologna has played 15 of their last 20 away games on individual total over 1.5 yellow cards
-135
Both Teams To Score (No)
Bologna has played 8 of their last 10 games on both to score - no
-208
Team 1 Yellow Cards Under (1.5)
Napoli has played 9 of their last 10 home matches on individual total under 1.5 yellow cards
-115
Team 1 Corners Under (5.5)
Bologna's opponents have played 15 of last 20 home matches on individual total under 5.5 corners

Napoli vs Bologna 11 May 2026 Prediction

The final match of Serie A Matchday 36 features two teams that won three domestic trophies between them last year. However, neither side can be fully satisfied with the 2025/26 season.

Bologna have missed out on European qualification this time and have long been settled near the bottom of the top 10. A trip to Campania does not look promising either, as they have lost four of their last five away meetings with Napoli.

Napoli Are Keeping More Clean Sheets

Napoli could have challenged Inter for the Scudetto this season. The squad quality in southern Italy is not inferior to the Nerazzurri, and Antonio Conte’s managerial level is not in doubt. However, the number of injuries Napoli dealt with throughout the season prevented them from fully entering the title race and was also the main reason for their Champions League disappointment.

Still, Napoli are finishing this Serie A campaign with confidence. It is unlikely that the Azzurri will drop out of the top four, and even a 0-0 draw away to Como strengthened their position. Their defensive improvement deserves attention, as Napoli have conceded only three goals across their last six matches.

Bologna Have Stopped Scoring

Last year was a successful one for Bologna, but mainly because of their Coppa Italia win. In the league, the Rossoblu have not been able to climb above mid-table under Vincenzo Italiano. Their spring form has been better than their winter stretch, but physical fatigue is becoming a bigger issue. No Italian team has played more matches than Bologna this season, with 53.

Italiano has experimented with formations and different player combinations, even giving regular minutes to loanee Simon Zoma, whom the club clearly does not plan to buy from Fiorentina. However, Bologna’s attacking play has recently declined completely, with no goals in their last four official matches.

Key Things to Know

  • Napoli have won five of their eight home matches against top-10 opponents.
  • Antonio Conte’s teams have beaten Bologna in eight of the last 11 meetings.
  • Bologna have failed to score in the first half in each of their last four matches against Napoli.

Napoli vs Bologna Predicted Lineup

Napoli (3-4-2-1): Milinkovic-Savic — Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Buongiorno — Politano, Lobotka, McTominay, Gutierrez — De Bruyne, Alisson — Hojlund

Out: Neres, Lukaku (both injured)

Manager: Antonio Conte

Bologna (4-2-3-1): Skorupski — Zortea, Heggem, Lucumi, Miranda — Ferguson, Freuler — Orsolini, Zoma, Rowe — Castro

Out: Cambiaghi, Casale, Vitik (all injured)

Manager: Vincenzo Italiano

Napoli vs Bologna Prediction: Napoli -1.5 at 2.44

Main Pick: Bologna’s Europa League disappointment has clearly affected the team’s motivation, and the Rossoblu have looked flat in recent Serie A matches. They have taken only one point from their last three league games. It is difficult to expect a major improvement in Naples.

Napoli have not yet secured their Champions League place, but they have an excellent chance to do so in this round. Conte’s team have been strong at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, failing to win only twice in their last eight home league matches. The pick is Napoli -1.5 at 2.44.

Total Pick: At home, Napoli usually play from a position of control, which helps their scoring output. Fewer than three goals have been scored in only two of Napoli’s last seven home Serie A matches. Over has also landed in three of Bologna’s last four official away matches. The recommended play is over 2.5 goals at 1.94.

Correct Score Pick: This time, the goals are likely to come mostly from the more motivated Napoli side. Bologna have failed to score in four straight matches across all competitions. For the correct score market, the pick is 3-0 to Napoli at 10.50.

Editor’s pick

Napoli -1.5@144
3
0

This editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered betting advice. Please do your own research before placing a bet.

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