Celta de Vigo vs Levante UD 12 May 2026 Prediction

Celta have joined the chase for Betis and cut the gap to four points. However, the Celts have only three rounds left, so they cannot afford to drop points.

Levante, meanwhile, are fighting hard to stay up and have reduced the gap to safety to two points. In the first half of the season, Claudio Giraldez’s team won 2-1. Can the hosts repeat that result, or will the Frogs get revenge in their survival fight?

A Home Problem During a European Push

Celta are finding form late in the season. After a difficult stretch, the team has won two straight matches, including a 1-0 away win over Atletico Madrid. But their home form remains a major issue. Celta are fighting for a Champions League place, yet only Oviedo have earned fewer home points than them, 18 compared to Celta’s 20. Five wins in 17 home matches is a bottom-table level return.

Still, there has been some recent progress, with three wins in their last five home matches. Their home xG is 1.32, but their finishing has been acceptable, with 26 goals scored. The defense remains a concern for the manager, though, with 25 goals conceded at home.

Levante Are Fighting for Survival

Levante continue to battle relegation and have taken 10 points from their last five rounds. They still have a chance to stay in La Liga, but they need points in every match. The league’s worst defense, with 57 goals conceded this season, is not a positive sign before a trip to Vigo. The Frogs can score, but their back line is too vulnerable.

Away from home, Levante have scored 17 goals, while their average road xG is 1.06, which matches their scoring output fairly well. However, their away form has declined, with five losses in their last seven road matches.

Celta vs Levante Predicted Lineup

Celta (5-2-2-1): Radu — Rueda, Alonso, Rodriguez, Lago, Carreira — Moriba, Sotelo — Alvarez, Aspas — Jutgla

Out: Roman, Starfelt (both injured), Vecino (doubtful)

Manager: Claudio Giraldez

Levante (4-3-3): Ryan — Toljan, Moreno, De la Fuente, Sanchez — Arriaga, Martinez, Olasagasti — Garcia, Espi, Brugue

Out: Romero, Primo, Alvarez (all injured), Elgezabal (doubtful)

Manager: Luis Castro

Stats and Trends

• Celta average 3.89 corners per match in the current La Liga season, while Levante average 4.17. Under 8.5 total corners is worth considering.
• Levante players receive an average of 2.17 yellow cards per match this season, while Celta average 1.89. Over 3.5 total yellow cards also looks interesting.

Celta vs Levante Prediction: Celta to Win at 1.79

• Main Pick: Celta ended their poor run with two straight wins. The away victory over Atletico Madrid (1-0) was especially significant. The Celts have also improved their home points return thanks to better finishing. Levante are improving, but Castro’s team have not had enough answers away from home. The pick is Celta to win at 1.79.
• Total Pick: Celta score consistently at home in La Liga, with 26 goals in 17 matches. Levante, despite being near the bottom, do not sit too deep and average exactly one goal per away league match. The visitors play aggressively even on the road, while Celta’s defense is not especially reliable. Over has landed in the last four home matches for Giraldez’s team. The recommended play is over 2.5 goals at 1.77.
• Correct Score Pick: Both Celta and Levante need a win, as neither team has fully settled its season objective. Celta’s most recent home league match was a convincing 3-1 win over Elche, showing clear improvement. Levante have been weak away from home, but they can still produce one scoring move, as noted above. The correct score pick is 3-1 to Celta at 13.50.