Deportivo Alaves vs Barcelona 13 May 2026 Prediction
Barcelona clinched the title in El Clasico with a 2-0 win and now need to finish the season properly. The Catalans can still reach 100 points, but they will need to win all of their remaining matches.
Alaves, meanwhile, are fighting for survival. The hosts are in the relegation zone, but they still have a chance to stay up. Can Alaves challenge the champions, or will Barcelona continue their winning run?
There Is Still Hope
In the previous round, only Sivera’s goalkeeping helped Alaves hold Mallorca to a 1-1 draw. Overall, the team has looked decent late in the season, losing only two of its last eight league matches. During that stretch, Quique Sanchez Flores’ team scored 16 goals. The hosts are clearly focused on attack, and they are creating chances. Their season average xG is 1.29, which puts them inside La Liga’s top 10.
At Mendizorrotza, Alaves have been solid recently, losing only once in their last five home matches. Their home xG is slightly higher at 1.35, and they have scored 23 goals in 17 matches. The issue is defense, as they have also conceded 23 goals. Flores’ team can score, but they allow too much in their own box.
Barca Are Champions
Catalonia is celebrating the title. Despite a family tragedy, Hansi Flick led his team into El Clasico and beat Real Madrid 2-0. Barcelona looked strong, handled the opponent’s pressure, and controlled the match. Late in the season, the Blaugrana are in excellent form, with 10 wins in their last 11 matches across all competitions.
Barcelona’s title run was built on their ability to create and finish chances. Flick’s team lead La Liga in xG at 1.94, which has resulted in 91 goals. Their closest competitor, Real Madrid, are 21 goals behind. Barcelona have also been strong away from home recently, winning four straight La Liga road matches.
Key Things to Know
- Barcelona have won the second half in each of their last four away league matches.
- Alaves have lost to the Blaugrana at Mendizorrotza in seven of the last eight head-to-head meetings.
- Flores’ team have scored in the second half in each of their last seven La Liga matches.
Alaves vs Barcelona Predicted Lineup
Alaves (5-1-2-2): Sivera — Perez, Castro, Tenaglia, Parada, Rebbach — Blanco — Ibanez, Suarez — Diabate, Martinez
Out: Boye (doubtful)
Manager: Quique Sanchez Flores
Barcelona (4-3-3): J. Garcia — Kounde, Martin, Araujo, Balde — Casado, Bernal, De Jong — Bardghji, Lewandowski, Rashford
Out: Yamal (injured), Christensen (doubtful), Raphinha (yellow-card suspension)
Manager: Hansi Flick
Alaves vs Barcelona Prediction: Barcelona to Win at 2.16
- Main Pick: Alaves are allowing too much defensively, having conceded 16 goals in their last seven matches. Against an attacking Barcelona side, that makes it difficult to expect a win. The Catalans will likely rotate, but Barcelona’s motivated reserves still have more quality than Flores’ team. The head-to-head record also favors the visitors, who have won the last six meetings. The pick is Barcelona to win at 2.16.
- Total Pick: A high-scoring match looks likely. Barcelona’s attack has been productive away from home, with 37 goals in 17 La Liga road matches. Alaves’ defense may struggle to handle Flick’s team, but the hosts also average 1.4 goals per home match at Mendizorrotza. At least four goals are realistic, so the recommended play is over 3.5 goals at 2.28.
- Correct Score Pick: Barcelona average 2.2 goals per away match. Alaves’ defense has struggled recently, conceding five goals across its last two games. Still, the hosts should have a chance to score, as Barcelona have been less reliable defensively on the road, allowing 22 goals in 17 away league matches. The correct score pick is 3-1 to Barcelona at 9.50.
Editor’s pick
This editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered betting advice. Please do your own research before placing a bet.
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