Villarreal vs Sevilla 13 May 2026 Prediction

Villarreal are calmly playing out the rest of the season. The players are relying on their quality and are not pushing too hard away from home. At home, however, the Yellow Submarine are still playing at a high level.

Sevilla have started to improve with two straight wins. It looks like Luis Garcia Plaza has finally reached his players. The Red and Whites have failed to beat Villarreal in five straight meetings. Can the visitors put up a strong fight this time?

A Fortress at La Ceramica

In the previous round, Villarreal played a difficult away match against Mallorca (1-1). The opponent applied pressure, but Villarreal held firm and punished a defensive mistake. At the same time, it was clear that the team was not playing at full intensity. Marcelino has also been giving minutes to reserve players away from home, which affects the team’s chemistry.

At home, Villarreal raise their level. Their home xG in La Liga is 1.63, and their finishing has been strong, with 41 goals in 17 matches at La Ceramica. That makes their six-game home winning streak easy to understand.

Time to Fight for Survival

Sevilla came from behind to beat Espanyol 2-1 in the previous round. Plaza has done the most important thing: he has restored some confidence in the team. That gave the Red and Whites enough energy for a late push, as both goals came after the 80th minute. Still, the visitors’ overall level remains low. They managed to overpower a struggling Espanyol side with speed and crosses, but that approach is unlikely to work as well against stronger teams.

All season, Sevilla have had major defensive problems and have conceded 56 goals in 25 rounds. Only Levante have a worse record, with 57. With so many defensive mistakes, even a decent away xG of 1.13 does not help enough. For comparison, Villarreal’s away xG is slightly lower at 1.05. Sevilla are only three points above the relegation zone, so this should be a physical and intense match.

Villarreal vs Sevilla Predicted Lineup

Villarreal (4-4-2): Junior — Freeman, Navarro, Veiga, Pedraza — Pepe, Parejo, Gueye, Moleiro — Moreno, Mikautadze

Out: Foyth, Cabanes (both injured)

Manager: Marcelino

Sevilla (4-2-3-1): Vlachodimos — Carmona, Castrin, Salas, Suazo — Gudelj, Agoume — Vargas, Sow, Ejuke — Adams

Out: Marcao (injured), Bueno (doubtful)

Manager: Luis Garcia Plaza

Stats and Trends

• Villarreal average 3.97 corners per match in the current La Liga season, while Sevilla average 4.89. Under 9.5 total corners is worth considering.
• Sevilla players receive an average of 2.71 yellow cards per match in the league, while Villarreal average 2.11. Over 4.5 total yellow cards also looks interesting.

Villarreal vs Sevilla Prediction: Villarreal to Win at 2.10

• Main Pick: Sevilla need the three points much more than Villarreal, who have already handled their main season objectives. Still, Villarreal have a major advantage at home, where they have won six straight matches at La Ceramica. In the end, the quality gap should outweigh the motivation factor. Sevilla have been poor away from home and have lost four straight road matches. Taking the head-to-head trend into account as well, the pick is Villarreal to win at 2.10.
• Total Pick: Villarreal play aggressively at home, but that also leaves space for counterattacks. Over has landed in each of their last six home La Liga matches at La Ceramica. Sevilla’s away matches have regularly featured defensive mistakes, with 12 goals conceded across their last five road league games. The recommended play is over 2.5 goals at 1.91.
• Correct Score Pick: The hosts have shown strong attacking form in their last six home league matches, scoring 14 goals in that stretch. Home-field advantage makes Villarreal more likely to win, but Sevilla should still find a chance going forward. The visitors have scored five goals across their last five away league rounds. The correct score pick is 3-1 to Villarreal at 14.00.