Sevilla vs Real Madrid 17 May 2026 Prediction

Sevilla received an extra boost before the decisive stretch of the season: Sergio Ramos has acquired the club. The period of uncertainty is over, and there are now clearer prospects for the future. The next task is to keep the team in La Liga for next season.

The next match is extremely important for Sevilla, but the opponent is a difficult one: Real Madrid. Sevilla has not beaten the favorite at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan in eight years. Can the Red and Whites do it at such a crucial moment?

Clear Improvement

Luis Garcia Plaza has simplified Sevilla’s tactics as much as possible, and that has helped the team earn nine points over the last three rounds. The latest match was especially telling, as the Red and Whites came from behind to beat top-four side Villarreal 3-2 away from home.

In the second half of the season, Sevilla has looked much stronger at home. The team has lost only one of its last eight La Liga matches at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan. During that stretch, the hosts beat both Copa del Rey finalists, defeating Atletico 2-1 and Real Sociedad 1-0. It is also important that Sevilla has won all three home matches under Plaza.

Time for a Rebuild

There have been many rumors around Real Madrid, but judging by the latest game against Oviedo (2-0), the situation inside the team has stabilized. Madrid dominated the match and attempted 19 shots. Over the last five matches, Real Madrid has failed to win only twice, and both games came against top-five opponents. Against teams fighting for survival, Espanyol (2-0) and Alaves (2-1), Madrid still had to work for the result.

The only real setback came against Barcelona (0-2), where several negative factors came together: the Valverde situation, injuries, and Mbappe’s unusual behavior. Arbeloa’s team has conceded only four goals across the last five matches, including two against Barca.

What to Know

• Sevilla has lost the second half in 13 of the last 16 league head-to-head matches.
• The Madrid club has beaten the Red and Whites in five of the last six La Liga meetings at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan.
• Real Madrid has scored in the second half in 17 of its last 20 La Liga matches.

Sevilla vs Real Madrid Predicted Lineup

Sevilla (4-4-2): Vlachodimos — Carmona, Castrin, Salas, Suazo — Vargas, Gudelj, Agoume, Oso — Adams, Mapei

Out: Marcao, Bueno (both injured), Romero (doubtful)

Manager: Luis Garcia Plaza

Real Madrid (4-2-3-1): Courtois — Alexander-Arnold, Rudiger, Huijsen, F. Garcia — Tchouameni, Pitarch — Diaz, Bellingham, Vinicius — Mbappe 

Out: Rodrygo, Militao, Guler, Mendy (all injured), Valverde, Ceballos (both doubtful) 

Manager: Alvaro Arbeloa

Sevilla vs Real Madrid Prediction: Real Madrid to Win at 2.25

• Main Pick: Sevilla has been playing well recently, but Real Madrid has historically looked confident at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan, winning five of the last six head-to-head meetings there. Madrid has also shown that it remains sharp in matches against lower-table opponents such as Oviedo, Espanyol, and Alaves. The pick is Real Madrid to win at 2.25.
• Goals Pick: A high-scoring match looks likely. Sevilla has scored five goals across its last three home matches. Both teams have also scored in three of the last four head-to-head meetings at Sevilla’s stadium. Real Madrid scoring looks very likely, as Arbeloa’s team has produced six goals across its last five away La Liga matches. The pick is both teams to score — yes at 1.73.
• Correct Score Pick: Across the last 10 league matches, Real Madrid has averaged close to two goals per game (1.8). In each of its last three La Liga matches against lower-table opponents, Madrid scored exactly twice. Sevilla has the tools to respond, as Plaza’s team has scored six goals across its last five home La Liga matches. Still, Real Madrid’s defense has become more reliable, as noted above. The recommended option is correct score 1-2 at 8.00.