Heidenheim vs St. Pauli 25 April 2026 Prediction

Heidenheim could be relegated as early as Round 31. Frank Schmidt’s team host St. Pauli in what is clearly the most important match of their season. St. Pauli are also still in the relegation fight, but they are in a much safer position. Heidenheim need a win to keep their hopes alive. If they take all three points, the gap will be cut to four with three rounds left, which would still leave them a chance to stay up. Given St. Pauli’s poor away form, it is not surprising that Heidenheim are viewed as the favorite.

Head-to-Head

In the first meeting this season, a brace from Marten Kaars gave St. Pauli an important 2-1 home win. Marvin Pieringer scored Heidenheim’s only goal in that match.

Heidenheim

Heidenheim lost for the 19th time this season in the last round, falling 2-1 away to an in-form Freiburg side. Budu Zivzivadze equalized in the second half with a well-placed finish, but the team could not hold on for a point late in the match. Frank Schmidt’s side now sit at the bottom of the table and trail 16th-placed St. Pauli by seven points. That means a loss here would send Heidenheim down to the 2. Bundesliga.

The home side have every reason to be fully focused. Beyond the standings, they also have a chance to respond after losing the first meeting. Their biggest issue remains the defense. Heidenheim have not kept a single clean sheet all season and have allowed 66 goals, the worst total in the league alongside Wolfsburg. Their last clean sheet came back in the 2024/25 season, when they beat Union Berlin 3-0 in Round 33. No team in Bundesliga history has ever completed a full season without a single clean sheet.

St. Pauli

In Round 30, St. Pauli failed to beat a direct rival, drawing 1-1 at home with Koln. Karol Mets opened the scoring in the second half, but the visitors equalized from the penalty spot late in the game. The result was not disastrous, but in their current position, St. Pauli need wins more than draws.

That is especially important because they missed a chance to create more distance from the automatic relegation places. Alexander Blessin’s team currently sit in the relegation playoff spot and are only two points ahead of 17th-placed Wolfsburg. That gives the Hamburg club clear motivation for this trip, as they look for their seventh league win of the season.

Best Bet

This match matters more for Heidenheim, because only a win keeps their survival hopes realistic. St. Pauli are also motivated, since they can still widen the gap above the automatic relegation places, especially if Wolfsburg drop points.

Given Heidenheim’s poor defending, St. Pauli should have a good chance to score. At the same time, St. Pauli’s away form and limited attacking output remain important concerns. Heidenheim look more urgent overall and should play with a more aggressive approach from the start. The best bet is Both Teams To Score – Yes. The projected score is Heidenheim 2-1 St. Pauli.