Adrian Novak

leaning over 3.5 here. leeds and brighton can get stretched fast, and this spot looks playable if it opens up early.

under 2.5 looks playable here. sassuolo-lecce has that tight serie a feel, and with both sides usually more careful than flashy in this spot, i’d rather side with the number staying low than chase goals.

under 2.5 looks playable here. lorient and le havre can both get tight in these spots, so i’d lean to a slower game and not overthink the number.

Nantes at home with the under 2.5 looks playable. Both sides can get a bit sticky in these spots, so I’m not overthinking it, just leaning on a tighter game and fewer clear looks.

over 3 feels playable here. lyon and lens can both bring pace, and this spot looks more open than people might think, so i’d rather lean goals than force a side.

Nice should have the edge here. Metz look shit and the spot feels playable, but -2 is still a big number, so I’m not overyhinking it too hard.

barça at home, betis having to chase it, this line makew sense. if thd favorite brings the usual pressure, -2 is playable, even if it needs a cldan night.

arsenal at home with burnley usually points to pressure and chances, and this number isn’t crazy if the gunners get rolling early. over 3.5 is playable, just needs arsenal to do most of the heavy lifting.