Xander Gutierrez

Low scoring feels the angle here, with both sides likely to keep a tighter rhythm. Under 3 is the sensible total line.

villarreal usually set a decent scoring tempo at home, and sevilla’s need for points should keep the rhythm open enough for chances at both ends. the total line of over 2.5 looks reasonable in a game that can stretch after the first goal.

inter’s rhythm and recent control suggest the overs lean, with both sides able to stretch the total line. 2.5 looks playable in a cup final.

Lens can keep the rhythm controlled at home, and PSG’s heavy schedule points towards a more measured scoring tempo than a wide-open game. Under 3 looks reasonable if the defensive shape holds.

Alavés can make this awkward enough to keep the rhythm tight, and Barcelona away from home do not always push every game into a high scoring tempo. Under 3 looks fair if the defensive shape holds and the match stays controlled for long spells.

Getafe’s home games tend to be tight, but the numbers point to enough edge for goals here, especially with Mallorca’s defence allowing chances away from home. Over 2 can land if the tempo opens up early, though it still feels a cautious line rather than a free-scoring one.