Juventus Turin vs Fiorentina 17 May 2026 Prediction

Juventus is in excellent form and is preparing to take the decisive step toward Champions League qualification. However, the Turin side will face one of its most difficult opponents in the next round.

In the first meeting this season, the Bianconeri drew 1-1 with Fiorentina, even though Paolo Vanoli’s team was in the relegation zone at the time. Fiorentina is also unbeaten in the last three head-to-head meetings between these teams.

Vlahovic Faces His Former Team

Luciano Spalletti has never been especially strong at managing his teams’ energy across multiple competitions, so Juventus did not look its best until being eliminated from the Champions League. In the spring, however, the Old Lady found new energy and is now on a 10-match unbeaten run. In the previous round, the Bianconeri narrowly beat Lecce 1-0, although the performance deserved a more comfortable scoreline.

It is also worth noting Dusan Vlahovic’s return to form, as he has scored in two straight matches. His goal against Lecce was the fastest in Juventus history. The match against Fiorentina will also have special meaning for the Serbian forward, as he began his Italian soccer career in Florence.

Fiorentina Has Stopped Scoring

Staying in Serie A can already be considered a major success for Fiorentina. Before this season, no team in Serie A history had avoided relegation after failing to win any of its first 15 matches. However, to return to the group of European contenders, Fiorentina clearly needs a more qualified manager than Paolo Vanoli.

The team’s performances late in the season only confirm that. The visitors have not won in four rounds, even though Roma was the only top-level opponent during that stretch. Fiorentina’s attack has also been weak. The team’s last goal came almost a month ago against relegation-threatened Lecce.

What to Know

• Juventus has won six of its last nine matches against bottom-half teams.
• Paolo Vanoli has never beaten Juventus in his managerial career. 
• None of the last nine head-to-head meetings between Juventus and Fiorentina had a 0-0 score at halftime.

Juventus vs Fiorentina Predicted Lineup

Juventus (3-4-2-1): Di Gregorio — Kalulu, Bremer, Kelly — McKennie, Locatelli, K. Thuram, Cambiaso — Conceicao, Yildiz — Vlahovic

Out: Milik, Cabal (both injured)

Manager: Luciano Spalletti

Fiorentina (4-3-3): De Gea — Dodo, Ranieri, Pongracic, Gosens — Ndour, Fagioli, Mandragora — Parisi, Gudmundsson, Solomon

Out: Lamptey, Kean (both injured)

Manager: Paolo Vanoli

Referee: Davide Massa

One of Italy’s best-known referees is also among the league leaders in average bookings this Serie A season at 4.69. In four matches involving Juventus and Fiorentina, he has shown fewer than four yellow cards only once.

• Has officiated 28 matches in the 2025/26 season
• Averages 4.04 yellow cards and 26.86 fouls per match
• Has awarded 11 penalties (32%)
• Has sent off 10 players (25%) 

Juventus vs Fiorentina Prediction: Juventus -1.5 at 1.90

• Main Pick: This version of Fiorentina is unlikely to seriously challenge Juventus. The Tuscan side does not have the structure or motivation needed for that. Recently, Fiorentina has looked flat and low on energy, and there is little reason to expect major improvement before the end of the season. Juventus, meanwhile, has not yet secured its Champions League place and should be fully focused on getting the result it needs. Luciano Spalletti’s team enters this match as the clear favorite after winning four of its last six Serie A matches. The recommended pick is Juventus -1.5 at 1.90.
• Total Pick: The Old Lady is one of the highest-scoring teams in this Serie A season, behind only Inter and Como. In Juventus home matches, the average total is 2.72 goals. With that in mind, a strong additional option is over 2.5 goals at 2.16.
• Correct Score Pick: Fiorentina is unlikely to match the hosts’ attacking approach. Sassuolo, Roma, and Genoa all kept clean sheets against Fiorentina across the last three rounds. For the correct score, we will go with 3-0 at 8.00.