Spain vs Denmark 2 July 2026 Prediction

Despite losing all four games so far, Denmark still has a mathematical chance to advance from the group. But it is only mathematical. The outsider in the group needs to beat Spain by 10+ points and then defeat Ukraine by 18+ points. Will Spain officially end Denmark’s chances here?

Spain Has Had No Major Problems in 2027 World Cup Qualifying

The first round of World Cup qualifying has looked like a warm-up for Spain. The hosts have won all four games by double digits, so even the long domestic final series between Barcelona and Valencia is unlikely to become a major issue. Chus Mateo will probably protect players from the finalist clubs, but Spain still has enough quality without them. Willy Hernangomez looks like the main name and leader of this roster, having already played a major role for the national team at the 2016 Olympics.

The center has not played for the national team since last year’s EuroBasket.

Spain Predicted Lineup: Fernandez - Cardenas, Martinez - Yusta, Willy Hernangomez

Out: None

Manager: Chus Mateo

Denmark Is Not Ready to Compete With Europe’s Top Teams Yet

Denmark has looked like the weakest team in the group from the start of qualifying. It has lost all four games and is deservedly last in the standings. The visitors have a few talented players from strong European leagues, but that has not been enough. In previous rounds, Jensen had to take on the lead role, but Tobias is not a reliable enough offensive option. Jermaine Webb should now join the team and try to give Denmark a boost.

European basketball fans may not know much about Webb yet. He plays in the NCAA for the Portland Pilots and could soon become an NBA prospect.

Denmark Predicted Lineup: Hede-Andersen - Djukic, Jensen - Knudsen, Erikstrup

Out: None

Manager: Allan Foss

Denmark Avoided a Blowout in the First Meeting

The only meeting between Denmark and Spain ended with a 10-point win for Spain, 74-64.

Spain vs Denmark Prediction: Denmark Handicap +21.5

• Main prediction: Spain is unlikely to push too hard in a game that does not carry major pressure. The hosts are going through a generational shift and are still far from their best version. The roster also does not look especially intimidating, and Chus Mateo will likely give young players valuable international minutes. The pick is Denmark +21.5 handicap at 1.84.
• Total prediction: Spain and Denmark combined for only 138 points in the first meeting. Another high-scoring game looks unlikely. Spain should use an experimental lineup, while Denmark simply does not have reliable scorers. No Danish player is averaging more than 12 points per game in qualifying. The bet is under 159.5 total points at 1.79.
• High-odds prediction: Spain has often started games slowly, losing the first quarter in three of its last five matches. Denmark, by contrast, usually begins with good energy. Recent first-quarter wins against Ukraine and Croatia also support that trend. The value option is Denmark not to lose the first quarter at 4.10.