Atalanta vs Parma 2 November 2026 Prediction

Atalanta sit outside the top 10 after nine rounds. They will look to climb the Serie A table against Parma, a team they have beaten in eight of their last 10 competitive meetings.

Improvement in Attack

After a decade under Gian Piero Gasperini and managers who followed his approach, Atalanta have had a difficult time adapting to Maurizio Sarri’s system. Their attacking numbers have improved, though. Before the international break, Atalanta averaged 0.81 expected goals (xG) and one goal per Serie A match. Over the last four rounds, those figures have risen to 2.22 xG and 2.75 goals per game.

Nikola Krstovic has played a major part in that improvement, taking Gianluca Scamacca’s place in the starting lineup this season. The Montenegro striker has five goals and two assists in his last four Serie A appearances. Playmaker Charles De Ketelaere has also contributed, recording one goal and two assists across the games against Frosinone (4-4) and Fiorentina (2-2). At the other end, injuries continue to limit Sarri’s defensive options. Hien, Kossounou, Kolasinac, Bellanova and Kristensen remain sidelined ahead of the Parma match.

Gilardino’s Difficult Start

Parma have struggled to maintain the defensive organization that helped them stay in Serie A last season under Carlos Cuesta. New manager Alberto Gilardino is trying to make the team more attack-minded, but Parma have taken just one point from his first four league matches. That came in a 0-0 draw with Udinese.

Parma’s injury situation has improved, with reserve player Nesta Elphege the only absentee. Central midfielder Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, who has not played since the start of the season, has recovered and is expected to start against Atalanta. Goalkeeper Giovanni Daffara, 21, could also start after helping Parma record their first clean sheet of the 2026/27 league season.

Atalanta vs Parma Predicted Lineup

Atalanta (4-2-3-1): Carnesecchi; Zappacosta, Scalvini, Obric, Bernasconi; Pasalic, Ederson; Elmas, De Ketelaere, Rowe; Krstovic.

Unavailable: Hien, Kossounou, Raspadori, Pompei, Kolasinac, Bellanova, Kessie, Kristensen, Scamacca (all injured).

Manager: Maurizio Sarri.

Parma (3-5-2): Daffara; Delprato, Troilo, D. Carlos; Britschgi, Keita, Nicolussi Caviglia, Bernabe, Valeri; Romero, Lontani.

Unavailable: Elphege (illness).

Manager: Alberto Gilardino.

Atalanta vs Parma Prediction: Atalanta Handicap -1.5

Main prediction: Atalanta have gone four competitive matches without a win despite their improved attacking play. Parma, meanwhile, have slipped into the relegation zone and have yet to earn a point away from home in the league. Atalanta are unbeaten at home since the international break and won two of those three matches by at least two goals. The pick is Atalanta -1.5 at 2.25.

Goals prediction: Atalanta have scored at least three goals in each of their last three home matches in all competitions. Parma have conceded three goals in two of their four games under Gilardino. The pick is Atalanta over 2.5 team goals at 2.54.