Arsenal vs Fulham 2 May 2026 Prediction

Arsenal earned a solid 1-1 draw away to Atletico Madrid in a difficult Champions League match. The Gunners are still competing for two trophies, and now their focus returns to the Premier League.

Next up is a difficult match against Fulham. After a surprising 1-0 win over Aston Villa, the Cottagers are back in the race for European qualification. The first meeting this season was controlled by the favorite and ended in a 1-0 Arsenal win. The question is whether Arsenal can confirm their status again.

Arsenal Are Holding On in the Title Race

Arsenal’s level of play has dropped. Mikel Arteta’s team looks tired late in the season and has had to work hard for every result. Recent results show that clearly: only two wins in the last eight matches, both by one goal.

The attacking numbers in the Premier League have also declined. Over the last 10 league matches, Arsenal have averaged only 1.41 expected goals, which ranks 11th in the league during that stretch. Their lead over Manchester City has been cut to three points, and City still have a game in hand. Arsenal’s main advantage is a favorable remaining schedule: Fulham, West Ham, Burnley, and Crystal Palace.

Fulham Are Still in the European Race

Fulham have been inconsistent lately. On one hand, the Cottagers have had disappointing results, including 0-1 losses to West Ham and Southampton. On the other, they beat Burnley 3-1, held Brentford to a 0-0 draw, and earned a deserved 1-0 win over Aston Villa. Those results have kept them in the race for European qualification.

Fulham are one point behind the Conference League places and two points behind the Europa League zone. A strong finish could return the club to European competition for the first time in 15 years, which gives Marco Silva’s team clear motivation.

What You Need to Know

• At least one team failed to score in eight of Arsenal’s last 10 home matches.
• Five of Arsenal’s last seven matches at the Emirates were tied at halftime.
• Fulham have lost their last six matches against teams that were in the top six at the time.

Predicted Lineup: Arsenal vs Fulham

Arsenal (4-3-3): Raya – White, Saliba, Gabriel, Hincapie – Odegaard, Zubimendi, Rice – Saka, Gyokeres, Trossard

Out: Merino, Timber (both injured), Havertz (questionable)

Manager: Mikel Arteta

Fulham (4-2-3-1): Leno – Castagne, Andersen, Bassey, Robinson – Berge, Lukic – Wilson, Smith Rowe, Chukwueze – Muniz

Out: Kevin, Tete, Iwobi (all injured), Sessegnon (questionable)

Manager: Marco Silva

Referee

Jarred Gillett

Gillett is not one of the strictest Premier League referees and often allows a physical game. He has shown more than three yellow cards in five of Arsenal’s last 11 matches he officiated and in four of Fulham’s last seven.

• 19 Premier League matches officiated in the 2025/26 season
• Average of 3.68 yellow cards and 19.89 fouls per match
• 5 penalties awarded (21%)
• 1 red card shown (5%)

Best Bet: Arsenal -1.5 at 2.34

Main pick: Fulham have had more time to prepare while Arsenal were playing in the Champions League. That is an advantage, but it may not be enough. Fulham have been weak away from home, taking only 16 points from 17 road matches. Only Leeds (14), Burnley (9), and Wolverhampton (5) have worse away records. Arsenal, despite recent issues, remain strong at the Emirates, with 41 points collected and only 10 dropped across 17 home league matches. Arsenal to win at 1.50 is the safer option, while Arsenal -1.5 at 2.34 is the better value for those willing to take more risk.

Total pick: Arsenal have been involved in fewer high-scoring matches lately. Arteta’s team has become more conservative, and no more than two goals were scored in seven of their last 10 matches. Fulham have also been playing lower-scoring games, with six of their last seven matches going under the total. Under 2.5 goals at 2.07 is worth considering.

Correct score pick: Fulham have struggled away to top teams, losing 2-3 to Manchester United, 0-3 to Manchester City, and 0-2 to Liverpool. Arsenal average around 2.18 goals per home Premier League match and concede much less than one per game at the Emirates, at 0.65. The correct score pick is 2-0 at 6.50.