Girona vs Mallorca 1 May 2026 Prediction

Girona and Mallorca are both fighting to stay in La Liga. Not long ago, both teams looked relatively safe, but a poor run of results has pulled them back into a difficult position. With the margins getting tighter, every mistake now carries real consequences.

Girona has won the last two La Liga meetings between these teams. The question is whether Mallorca can end that run and get revenge.

Girona: Instability Instead of Control

Girona dropped points in the last round, losing 2-1 to Valencia. At this stage of the season, Michel’s team has become difficult to predict, with three defeats in its last five matches. In the same stretch, Girona also beat Villarreal 2-1 and earned a 1-1 draw against Real Madrid at the Bernabeu. Rumors about the manager’s possible departure may be affecting the team’s consistency, but with five rounds left in the season, this level of instability is dangerous.

At home, Girona’s results have been slightly better, with three wins in the last five matches. The White and Reds are staying competitive thanks to their attack, which averages 1.2 goals per home game. Still, the defense remains a major concern after conceding 50 goals in 33 rounds. With that kind of defensive record, even home-field advantage does not guarantee control.

Mallorca’s Away Problem

Mallorca had a favorable stretch of the schedule recently, taking seven points from three straight home matches. But once Martin Demichelis’ team went back on the road, the problems returned in a 2-1 loss to Alaves. After that defeat, the relegation zone has become a concern again.

The Mallorca manager was direct about the team’s defensive issues:

"Our defense is the most vulnerable in the league right now. We will play more actively and press more aggressively."

Defensive mistakes have followed Mallorca throughout the season. The team has conceded 51 goals, with only struggling Sevilla allowing more at 55. Away from home, the numbers are even worse: just one win in 16 league road matches. When a team allows almost two goals per away game on average, it becomes very hard to pick up points. Six defeats in the last seven La Liga away matches confirm the problem.

Girona vs Mallorca Predicted Lineup

Girona (5-2-2-1): Gazzaniga — Rincon, Frances, Reyes, Blind, Arnau — Witsel, I. Martin — Tsygankov, Ounahi — Roca

Out: J. Martin, Portu, ter Stegen, Vanat, Ruiz (all injured), van de Beek (questionable), Moreno (yellow-card suspension)

Manager: Michel

Mallorca (4-3-1-2): Roman — Maffeo, Valjent, Mascarell, Mojica — Costa, Darder, Morlanes — Torre — Virgili, Muriqi

Out: Joseph, Raillo, Salas (all injured), Bergstrom (questionable)

Manager: Martin Demichelis

Stats and Trends

Girona averages 5.28 corners per match in this La Liga season. Mallorca’s average is 4.03. Over 8.5 corners is worth considering.

Mallorca players average 2.09 yellow cards per match in the league, while Girona averages 1.94. Over 3.5 total yellow cards also looks interesting.

Girona vs Mallorca Prediction: Girona to Win at 2.07

Main pick: Mallorca is a good matchup for the current version of Girona. Demichelis’ team does not defend well enough and still tries to play forward, even away from home. That lack of defensive stability puts the visitors in a difficult spot, especially since Girona has scored nine goals across its last five home matches. In that stretch, the White and Reds also beat Barcelona 2-1 and Villarreal 1-0. After two recent setbacks at home, Michel’s team should be motivated to respond. The pick is Girona to win at 2.07.

Total pick: Girona tends to play open games at home, and the defensive numbers support that. Over 2.5 goals landed in four of Girona’s last five La Liga matches at Montilivi. Mallorca’s away matches have been even more open: in six of the last seven league road games, there were at least three total goals. A draw would not fully suit either side, so both teams should be willing to attack. Over 2.5 at 1.82 is a strong option.

Correct score pick: Girona has shown strong attacking form in its last five home league matches, scoring nine goals in that span. The home factor makes Girona the more likely winner, but Mallorca should still find a way to create chances. The visitors have scored 14 goals in 16 away league matches this season. The best correct-score option is 2-1 at 10.00.