Pisa vs Lecce 1 May 2026 Prediction

For the third straight round, Lecce will face another team from the lower part of the table. This time, the Apulians meet struggling Pisa, a side that could officially lose its Serie A status as early as Friday.

Pisa comes into this match with the fewest wins in Serie A and the highest number of goals conceded. The last two head-to-head meetings with Lecce also ended badly for the Nerazzurri.

Pisa Is Changing Its Style

Pisa is already preparing for life in Serie B and has started to adjust its style. Early in his work in Italy, Oscar Hiljemark mostly relied on the defensive structure left by his predecessor, Alberto Gilardino. Now, however, Pisa is trying to compete for possession and initiative even against opponents that are clearly stronger. The Tuscan side has also moved into the top five in Serie A for pressing attempts.

That shift has not helped the results. In mid-March, the Nerazzurri beat another team from the lower part of the table, Cagliari, 3-1. Since then, however, Pisa has stopped picking up points. The losing streak has now reached five matches.

Lecce Is Improving in Attack

Eusebio Di Francesco has not stayed longer than one season in any of his last five jobs. To avoid repeating that pattern at Lecce, he needs to keep the Apulians in Serie A. So far, the 56-year-old manager is doing enough, but the gap to 18th place is only one point, and the battle with Cremonese may last until the final round.

Across the full season, no Serie A team has scored fewer goals than the Giallorossi. At the same time, Lecce’s attacking structure has clearly improved over the last two months. In five of the last seven rounds, Lecce won the expected goals battle, including against Roma and Napoli, two teams fighting for European places.

Pisa vs Lecce Predicted Lineup

Pisa (3-5-2): Semper – Bozhinov, Caracciolo, Canestrelli – Leris, Aebischer, Akinsanmiro, Vural, Angori – Moreo, Stoilkovic

Out: Denoon, Marin, Durosinmi, Tramoni (all injured)

Manager: Oscar Hiljemark

Lecce (4-2-3-1): Falcone – Veiga, Siebert, T. Gabriel, Gallo – Ramadani, Coulibaly – Pierotti, Gandelman, Banda – Stulic

Out: Gaspar, Sottil, Berisha, Fofana (all injured)

Manager: Eusebio Di Francesco

Referee: Marco Guida

Guida has already officiated two Pisa matches in this Serie A season, showing a total of nine yellow cards in those games.

He has worked 27 matches in the 2025/26 season.

Average yellow cards: 3.19 per game; average fouls: 23.44 per game.

He has awarded 10 penalties (30%).

He has sent off three players (7%).

Stats and Trends

Lecce has won the corner count in each of the last two rounds, while Pisa has failed to win that category in three straight home matches. Another Lecce corner-count win is worth considering.

Only one of Lecce’s last five opponents received fewer than two yellow cards. Pisa players, meanwhile, have picked up five yellows across the last two rounds. Pisa team total over 1.5 yellow cards is also a reasonable betting option.

Pisa vs Lecce Prediction: Lecce to Win at 2.53

Main pick: In a matchup between two struggling teams, motivation should be the key factor. Pisa already looks mentally prepared for official relegation to Serie B, while Lecce is still fighting hard to stay in the top division. The Apulians do not have the resources to consistently compete with top-half opponents, but their last defeat against a team from the lower half of the table came three months ago. Pisa has also lost nine of 11 matches under its current manager. Lecce to win at 2.53 is the preferred pick.

Total pick: Under Hiljemark, Pisa is trying to play more attacking soccer. That has not improved the results, but it has increased the number of goals in their matches. Only two of the Nerazzurri’s last seven games finished with fewer than three goals. Over 2.5 at 2.49 is worth considering here.

Correct score pick: Lecce has scored two goals in each of its last three winning matches. At the same time, the Giallorossi concede only 1.35 goals per away Serie A match on average. The best correct-score option is 1-2 at 10.25.