MatchesSoccerAston Villa - Nottingham Forest
EuropeEuropa League
Aston Villa
xG 3.08
4 : 0
Finished7 may 19:00
Nottingham Forest
0.45 xG
36'Watkins O.
58'Buendia E.
77'McGinn J.
80'McGinn J.

Match statistics

Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Shots
3off target
on target10
off target4
2on target
51%Ball Possession49%
6Corners3
0Yellow Cards2
1Offsides2
14Throw-ins12
4Goal Kicks12
13Free Kicks14
13Fouls12
3.08Expected Goals (xG)0.45

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Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest 7 May 2026 Public Opinion

Public Opinion
Main Outcomes 428 predictions
Double Chance 77 predictions
Both Teams To Score 124 predictions
Match Total 112 predictions
Teams Totals 79 predictions
Asian Handicap 73 predictions

Prediction Statistics

19 predictions
12
0
7
196
Highest winning odds
(-1.5)
0
experts profit
0
author profit
0
pro profit
+40000
cappers profit

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest 07 May 2026 User Predictions and Betting Tips

Who Cares
7 may at 09:31
-400
OVER (1.5).
over 1.5 goals looks like a safe choice as both Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest are capable of creating chances and scoring
Joe Carrington
7 may at 07:04
-132
WINNER 1.
This is Unai Emerie's tournament! I think we will see another game today
Petr Kaczynski
7 may at 00:52
-132
WINNER 1.
I’m on Aston Villa to win (1) at 1.76 — it’s the Europa League semi-final second leg at Villa Park on May 7, and Forest are coming in with a 1-0 aggregate edge, so Villa should be the side pushing the pace and hunting the result. At that price I think the home win is a fair angle even if it doesn’t automatically mean they go through, just need Villa to take the game on and find a way in
Musa Mubanda
7 may at 00:33
-112
OVER (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals at 1.89 is a measured pick I can live with, because this is the Europa League semi-final second leg at Villa Park with Forest defending a 1-0 aggregate lead, so the game state should nudge Villa into forcing the pace and creating the sort of open spells that can lift the total. I’m not chasing it if the price shortens, but at a fair enough number this line makes sense given one goal can quickly turn it into
John Rowland
6 may at 23:54
-111
OVER (2.5).
villa at home down 1-0 on agg means they kinda have to open this up, and forest aren’t gonna sit for 90 either with a final on the line… feels like the second leg gets way less cagey once that first goal hits, so i’m leaning Over 2.5 at 1.90 as a small play.
George Wilson
6 may at 22:38
-161
HANDICAP 2 (1).
Villa -1.0 at 1.62 looks a touch short, but I can see the angle given it’s the Europa League semi-final second leg at Villa Park with Forest defending a 1-0 aggregate lead, so the home side have to push for a proper win rather than faff about. If Villa do get control and score first, Forest’s clean-sheet comfort gets tested and the handicap starts to make sense at a playable price.
James Pierce
6 may at 22:01
-128
WINNER 1.
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest is Europa League semi-final second leg on 7 May 2026, and Forest come with small 1-0 lead, so Villa must push more at home in Villa Park. I like 1X2 home win (w1) at 1.78 because Villa should have strong attacking intent and crowd help, even if Forest can defend deep and make it uncomfortable, risk is normal. It can be close match but Villa win in 90 minutes looks good option for me.
Frank Sexton
6 may at 21:18
-112
OVER (2.5).
Over 2.5 at 1.89 feels like a reasonable angle in this Europa League semi-final second leg on May 7, with Forest holding a 1-0 aggregate edge and Villa needing to open the game up at home to chase it. That setup usually creates a matchup rhythm where one side has to take risks and the other has clean counterpunch chances, and once the first goal lands the game state can flip into something more stretched. I’m not expecting a dull, cage
Bob Ward
6 may at 20:27
-200
UNDER (3).
Under 3 at 1.50 makes sense here, it’s a Europa League semi 2nd leg with Forest up 1-0 so it can get tight and cagey real quick. I’ll take it, feels like a 1-0 1-1 type game unless it gets weird early.
Darrell Jackson
6 may at 19:45
-128
WINNER 1.
Aston Villa to win (1) at 1.78 looks a sensible pick for the Europa League semi-final second leg on 7 May 2026 (19:00 UTC), with Villa Park usually giving them a bit more control and the price still reasonable for the favourite. Forest have shown they can be awkward, but if Villa start well and keep things simple, they should have enough to get the job done on the night.

Standings

# Team
Form
1.Olympique Lyon
8
7
0
1
18:5
21
2.Aston Villa
8
7
0
1
14:6
21
3.Midtjylland
8
6
1
1
18:8
19
4.Real Betis
8
5
2
1
13:7
17
5.Porto
8
5
2
1
13:7
17
6.Braga
8
5
2
1
11:5
17
7.Freiburg
8
5
2
1
10:4
17
8.Roma
8
5
1
2
13:6
16
9.Genk
8
5
1
2
11:7
16
10.Bologna
8
4
3
1
14:7
15
11.Stuttgart
8
5
0
3
15:9
15
12.Ferencvarosi
8
4
3
1
12:11
15
13.Nottingham Forest
8
4
2
2
15:7
14
14.Viktoria Plzen
8
3
5
0
8:3
14
15.Red Star
8
4
2
2
7:6
14
16.Celta de Vigo
8
4
1
3
15:11
13
17.PAOK Thessaloniki
8
3
3
2
17:14
12
18.Lille
8
4
0
4
12:9
12
19.Fenerbahce Istanbul
8
3
3
2
10:7
12
20.Panathinaikos Athens
8
3
3
2
11:9
12
21.Celtic
8
3
2
3
13:15
11
22.Ludogorets
8
3
1
4
12:15
10
23.Dinamo Zagreb
8
3
1
4
12:16
10
24.Brann
8
2
3
3
9:11
9
25.Young Boys
8
3
0
5
10:16
9
26.Sturm Graz
8
2
1
5
5:11
7
27.Fotbal Club FCSB
8
2
1
5
9:16
7
28.Go Ahead Eagles
8
2
1
5
6:14
7
29.Feyenoord Rotterdam
8
2
0
6
11:15
6
30.Basel 1893
8
2
0
6
9:13
6
31.RB Salzburg
8
2
0
6
10:15
6
32.Rangers
8
1
1
6
5:14
4
33.Nice
8
1
0
7
7:15
3
34.Utrecht
8
0
1
7
5:15
1
35.Malmo
8
0
1
7
4:15
1
36.Maccabi Tel Aviv
8
0
1
7
2:22
1
  • Playoffs
  • Qualification playoffs

Recent Matches

Aston Villa155 matches
20%
1 win
20%
1 draw
60%
3 losses
Nottingham Forest131 matches
60%
3 wins
20%
1 draw
20%
1 loss

Trends and Streaks in Europa League

-114
Team 1 Over (1.5)
Aston Villa has played 5 home matches in a row on individual total over 1.5 goals
-120
Corners Under (10.5)
Aston Villa has played 5 home matches in row on total under 10.5 corners
Aston Villa has played 9 of their last 10 games on total under 10.5 corners
100
Yellow Cards Under (3.5)
Aston Villa has played 5 home games in row on total under 3.5 yellow cards
Aston Villa has played 8 of their last 10 matches on total under 3.5 yellow cards
-128
Winner 1
Aston Villa has won 9 of their last 10 games on goals
-109
Team 1 Under (1.5)
Nottingham Forest's opponents have played 9 of last 10 matches on individual total under 1.5 goals
Nottingham Forest's opponents have played 12 of last 15 matches on individual total under 1.5 goals

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest 7 May 2026 Prediction

Nottingham’s winning streak has reached five matches. The team is fighting hard for results, but the injury situation is becoming a serious concern.

Can Unai Emery take advantage of Nottingham Forest’s vulnerable position? The Spaniard is the most successful manager in Europa League history, but Aston Villa enter the second leg trailing in the tie and coming off three straight defeats.

Aston Villa Are Focused on the Europa League

Aston Villa have lost two straight Premier League matches, falling to Fulham (0-1) and Tottenham (1-2). The results are disappointing, but they are unlikely to create serious consequences. With three rounds left in the league season, Villa are six points ahead of their closest challengers and should keep their place in the top five.

That gives the coaching staff some room to prioritize the Europa League over domestic matches. For example, only five regular starters were in the lineup against Spurs. Villa also have experience turning difficult European ties around. In the league phase, the English side came back from a two-goal deficit against Salzburg and won 3-2.

Nottingham Forest Are Paying a High Price

Nottingham Forest are unbeaten in 10 matches across all competitions, with 7 wins and 3 draws. In the latest Premier League round, Forest beat Chelsea 3-1 at Stamford Bridge. That result moved them six points clear of the relegation zone, which should be enough to stay in the top division with three rounds remaining.

Still, Nottingham Forest also have a chance to turn an average season into a successful one. Winning the Europa League would bring a major trophy and a place in the Champions League. The main concern is the squad situation. Around 10 players could miss the next match.

Predicted Lineup: Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest

Aston Villa (4-2-3-1): Martinez – Cash, Konsa, Torres, Digne – Bogarde, Tielemans – McGinn, Rogers, Buendia – Watkins

Out: Kamara, Onana (both injured), Barkley (not in the squad)

Manager: Unai Emery

Nottingham Forest (4-4-2): Ortega – Williams, Milenkovic, Cunha, Morato – Bakwa, Dominguez, Anderson, Hutchinson – Wood, Jesus

Out: Boly, Savona, Hudson-Odoi, Victor (all injured), Awoniyi (not in the squad), Abbott, Aina, Gibbs-White, Ndoye, Sangare, Murillo (all questionable)

Manager: Vitor Pereira

Referee

Glenn Nyberg (Sweden)

Nyberg is a consistent mid-range referee by Swedish league standards. In European matches, he usually works in a fairly lenient style. He has not previously officiated matches involving these teams.

  • 8 matches officiated in the 2026 Premier League season
  • Average: 3.75 yellow cards and 25.29 fouls per match
  • 2 penalties awarded (13% of matches)
  • 1 red card shown (13%)

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Prediction: Aston Villa to Win at 1.77

Main Pick: Home field is a major advantage for Aston Villa. In the Premier League, Unai Emery’s team has won 11 of 18 home matches, a record behind only Arsenal, Manchester City, and Manchester United. Their Europa League home record is even stronger: 6 wins in 6 matches with a combined score of 14-3.

Villa have also won the last four head-to-head meetings with Nottingham Forest at Villa Park. Nottingham’s recent results have been strong, but the injury list is a major issue. Key players such as Morgan Gibbs-White and Callum Hudson-Odoi are among the absentees or doubts. The pick is Aston Villa to win at 1.77.

Goals Pick: This match should be more open than the first leg. Aston Villa need to recover the deficit and play more aggressively, which could suit a Nottingham side used to counterattacking. Villa have scored in 12 of 13 Europa League matches, while Forest have scored in 7 of their last 8 games. Both Teams To Score — Yes at 1.86 is worth considering.

Correct Score Pick: Nottingham have scored no more than once in 5 of their last 6 Europa League matches. Aston Villa are more productive and have scored at least two goals in 8 of 12 Europa League games, including 5 of 6 at home. The correct score pick is 2-1 at 8.00.

Editor’s pick

Aston Villa to Win@-130
2
1

This editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered betting advice. Please do your own research before placing a bet.

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