James Whitaker

mboko has the sharper momentum on the grass and that usually matters in london, while pliskova can still make it awkward if she gets her first strike working. the -4 line asks for a clear edge, but if mboko finds her rhythm early this can be covered without too much fuss.

Bouzkova looks the more controlled option on grass, and if she can keep the rallies tidy, the handicap at -1 has a sensible angle. Vekic has the bigger natural threat, but this price suggests a fairly competitive line, so the Czech’s patience and rhythm may be enough to edge it.

Rybakina should have the stronger rhythm, but Maria can make it scrappy on grass, so over 21.5 looks a fair price.

Boulter on the level handicap makes sense if she settles into the grass rhythm early. Cristian is capable, but Boulter’s pace and home conditions give her the cleaner edge, and a straight set win is a sensible angle at the price.

raducanu on the grass in london has enough control and timing to keep this close, but cirstea is seasoned enough to make it a proper fight. taking the 1.5 games makes sense if it stays tight and the price looks fair for that kind of balanced match.