Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder 12 October 2026 Prediction

Oklahoma City has opened the preseason with losses to New Orleans (116-110) and Milwaukee (128-126). Atlanta, meanwhile, has won two straight.

Atlanta Has Won Two Straight Preseason Games

In last season’s playoffs, the Hawks pushed the eventual champion Knicks despite playing without Trae Young. Atlanta lost the series 4-2 but remained competitive after Young’s trade. The Hawks have since added Dort and Wiggins from Oklahoma City. After a 132-123 preseason loss to Memphis, Atlanta beat San Antonio 123-116 and Indiana 119-117.

Against Indiana, the Hawks held a 49-35 rebounding edge, including a 10-0 advantage on the offensive glass. They also made 28 of 30 free throws. Johnson had 20 points, seven rebounds and three assists in 25 minutes. Okongwu scored 18, McCollum added 12, and newcomer Wiggins finished with 13.

Atlanta Hawks Predicted Lineup: McCollum, Dort, Daniels, Johnson, Okongwu

Out: None listed

Manager: Quin Snyder

Oklahoma City’s Offense Has Been Efficient

The Thunder lost key starters and rotation players in Dort, Joe and Wiggins during the offseason. Jalen Williams is also recovering from an injury and has not played this preseason. Oklahoma City rested its top players in its opener and lost 116-110 to New Orleans despite shooting 53% from the field to the Pelicans’ 40%.

Gilgeous-Alexander, Caruso and Wallace played in the subsequent loss to Milwaukee. The Thunder shot 49% from the field and recorded 34 assists. Gilgeous-Alexander scored 17 points on 5-for-5 shooting. Mara, drafted this summer, had 20 points, six rebounds and two assists while going 10-for-10 from the field. Four other Thunder players scored at least 11 points.

Oklahoma City Thunder Predicted Lineup: Gilgeous-Alexander, Wallace, Caruso, Jaylin Williams, Mara

Out: Jalen Williams (injury)

Manager: Mark Daigneault

Oklahoma City Won Both Regular-Season Meetings

The Thunder won both meetings last season, 117-110 and 140-129. Atlanta won a July exhibition 82-77.

Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction: Atlanta Hawks Handicap -3.5

Main pick: Atlanta has played three October preseason games and won its last two against solid opponents. Oklahoma City has lost both of its games, allowing at least 116 points in each despite its strong defensive ratings in recent seasons. The Hawks’ recent scoring gives them a chance to win at State Farm Arena. The pick is Atlanta Hawks -3.5 at 1.90.

Total points pick: Both teams have played at a fast pace this preseason. Oklahoma City and Milwaukee combined for 254 points, while Atlanta and Indiana totaled 236. One of last season’s two meetings produced 269 points. The additional pick is over 231.5 total points.