Olimpia Milano vs Real Madrid 13 October 2026 Prediction

Olimpia Milano and Real Madrid are among the most decorated basketball clubs in Italy and Spain. Both enter this EuroLeague matchup at 1-3, near the bottom of the standings. Each still aims to compete near the top, but both need to improve quickly.

Olimpia Milano Is Last in the Standings

Olimpia sits last at 1-3 with a minus-42 point differential, despite not having faced a team that finished in last season’s top 10. According to Sportweek, the club has a €40 million annual budget, one of the league’s largest. Giuseppe Poeta’s team lost 97-79 to Maccabi in Round 4. Local media have reported that Poeta could be dismissed, though the club has publicly backed its manager. Olimpia has won 19 of its last 20 competitive home games, including four EuroLeague games.

Olimpia Milano Predicted Lineup: Thompson, Hall, Matthews, Peters, Wright

Unavailable: None

Manager: Giuseppe Poeta

Maledon Helps Real Madrid Improve

After a slow start, Real Madrid has won three straight games across all competitions. French guard Theo Maledon has led the recent improvement. He is averaging 17.3 points and 5.7 assists in the Spanish league, along with 14.8 points and 5.5 assists in the EuroLeague. Real earned its first EuroLeague win in Round 4, beating Partizan 86-76 at home. Madrid averages 86.3 points per game and shoots 34.7% from three, but allows 87.5 points per game. Its defense has generated just 3.8 steals per game.

Real Madrid Predicted Lineup: Campazzo, Abalde, Pradilla, Luwawu-Cabarrot, Rafa

Unavailable: Garuba and Deck (both injured)

Manager: Pedro Martínez

Real Madrid Has Not Won in Milan Since 2022

The teams split their meetings in last season’s EuroLeague. Olimpia won 89-82 in Milan, and Real won the return game 106-77 in Madrid.

Olimpia Milano vs Real Madrid Prediction: Olimpia Milano Handicap +5.5

Main pick: Olimpia’s home record gives it a chance to keep this close despite its poor start. Poeta’s staff is under pressure, but the roster has experience: Matthews played in the NBA last season, and Peters arrived from title-winning Olympiacos. Real has also struggled early and has lost three road games. The pick is Olimpia Milano +5.5 at 1.77.

Total points pick: Both defenses have been inconsistent, but 176.5 points is a high line for this matchup. In seven meetings in Milan since 2020, the teams have never combined for more than 171 points. Olimpia may look to slow the pace, and neither side has shot especially well from the field: Olimpia is at 43.5% (17th), while Real is at 46.1% (12th). The additional pick is under 176.5 total points at 1.75.