Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia 20 September 2026 Prediction

Athletico Paranaense hosts Bahia in a direct matchup between two teams competing near the top of the standings. Both have 46 points, with the hosts sitting third due to their higher number of wins.

Recent Form

Athletico Paranaense is winless in its last three league matches. The team drew 3-3 with Coritiba in the previous round after leading 3-1. The result highlighted the hosts’ attacking quality but also exposed their defensive issues.

Bahia enters the match in much better form. The team has won four straight league games, including a 2-1 victory over Remo in the previous round. The visitors are unbeaten in 11 matches and have scored four goals across their last two games.

Team News

Athletico Paranaense will be without several important players. Viveros and Cruz are suspended, while Benavides, Claudinho, and Léo Derik remain sidelined with muscle injuries. Vargas is expected to replace Viveros in attack.

Bahia will be without the suspended Oliveira, but Furquim is available again. Araujo, Sanabria, and Vieira remain out with injuries.

Athletico Paranaense vs Bahia Predicted Lineup

Athletico Paranaense (5-2-3): Mycael; Moraes, Dantas, Aguirre, Díaz, Esquivel; Jadson, Gustavo; Zapelli, Mendoza, Vargas

Out: Viveros, Cruz (suspension); Benavides, Claudinho, Léo Derik (injury)

Manager: Hellmann

Bahia (4-3-3): Ronaldo; Marcos Victor, Duarte, Kanu, Juba; Acevedo, Nestor, Jean Lucas; Ademir, Pulga, Véliz

Out: Oliveira (suspension)

Manager: Ceni

Athletico Paranaense vs Bahia Prediction: Both Teams to Score — Yes

Main prediction: Athletico Paranaense scored three goals against Coritiba but allowed its opponent to come back and tie the game. That result reflects the team’s current balance between attacking production and defensive vulnerability. Bahia has scored in each of its last four league matches but has also conceded 33 goals in 27 rounds. The hosts have defensive problems, while the visitors can capitalize on space in transition. Our pick is both teams to score — yes at odds of 1.72. We estimate a 60% probability, making odds of 1.67 or higher playable.

Goals prediction: Athletico Paranaense’s last match ended 3-3, while Bahia has scored four goals over its past two league games. Both teams also concede regularly. Athletico has allowed 31 goals in 27 matches, and Bahia has given up 33. Given the attacking quality on both sides, a game with at least three goals is a realistic outcome. Our pick is over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.85. We estimate a 55% probability, making odds of 1.82 or higher playable.