Frosinone Calcio vs Como 1907 20 September 2026 Prediction

Frosinone and Como will meet in Serie A for the first time. Their previous six meetings came in Serie B and the Coppa Italia, with Frosinone winning four of them. However, Frosinone were not the team that beat RB Leipzig in the Champions League last week.

Best of the Promoted Teams

Massimiliano Alvini prepared Frosinone well for their return to Serie A, and they have made the strongest start among the promoted clubs. After four rounds, Frosinone are in the top eight following positive results against Fiorentina (3-0), Venezia (3-2), and Genoa (1-1). Their performances have not been as convincing as their league position suggests. Frosinone average 1.36 expected goals while allowing 2.07 xG per game. Como have enough quality to take advantage of those defensive issues.

Defense has rarely been a strength of Alvini’s teams. The manager favors an aggressive attacking approach, even against stronger opponents. Frosinone’s best players are in the final third. Center forward Antonio Raimondo is among Serie A’s leading scorers with four goals, while Georgian left winger Giorgi Kvernadze has contributed to a goal in each of the last three rounds.

Como Live Up to Expectations

Como are no longer just a promising young team. They are one of Serie A’s leading sides and are representing Italy in the Champions League. Cesc Fabregas’ team remain unbeaten through five competitive matches this season. Their best results include a 2-1 road win over last season’s runners-up Napoli and a 4-1 victory over RB Leipzig in their Champions League opener. Como have yet to face a promoted team, but they comfortably beat two other expected bottom-half sides, defeating Genoa 4-1 and Parma 2-1.

Fabregas continues to use an attacking system based on pressing and extended possession. Como’s defense has not matched last season’s level, when they conceded fewer goals than any other Serie A team. The visitors have yet to keep a clean sheet this season and even conceded against Parma, who have the league’s lowest expected-goals figure.

Frosinone vs Como Predicted Lineup

Frosinone (4-3-3): Palmisani; Oyono, Cittadini, Calvani, Bracaglia; Masini, Calò, Schmid; Ghedjemis, Raimondo, Kvernadze

Out: Grillitsch, Terzic (both injured)

Manager: Massimiliano Alvini

Como (4-2-3-1): Butez; Couto, Ramón, Chalobah, Kaiki; Perrone, Da Cunha; Diao, Paz, Baturina; Douvikas

Out: Addai (injured)

Manager: Cesc Fabregas

Frosinone vs Como Prediction: Como Handicap -1.5

Main prediction: Frosinone are unbeaten in three league matches, but that run is unlikely to continue against Como. Alvini’s team stick to their approach against every opponent and commit several players to pressing high up the field. That should suit Como. The visitors have a clear advantage in individual quality and tactical organization. Fabregas’ side have also been effective at playing through pressure since their promotion to Serie A two seasons ago. Including the end of last season, Como have won five of their last six Serie A road games. We expect another convincing performance from the favorite and back Como with a -1.5 handicap at 2.28.

Totals prediction: Frosinone play attacking soccer and have scored seven goals over the last three rounds. Como are unlikely to keep a clean sheet after both teams scored in every one of their Serie A matches this season. The visitors have also scored at least twice in four consecutive competitive games. A high-scoring contest is likely, making over 3.5 goals at 2.16 the preferred totals bet.