Cagliari Calcio vs Atalanta 27 April 2026 Prediction

Atalanta have handled teams in the relegation fight with confidence, winning three straight matches against opponents from the bottom quarter of the table.

Cagliari fall into that category as well, and even the venue does not help the home side much. In their last seven home matches against Atalanta, Cagliari have lost six times.

No Better Than Last Season

Was it really worth replacing Davide Nicola? Under young and progressive manager Fabio Pisacane, Cagliari do not look any better than they did a year ago. The results have been poor as well, with just one win in their last 10 Serie A matches. That victory came against fellow relegation struggler Cremonese (1-0).

The Sardinian side are still not safe from relegation, and a difficult closing schedule has increased concern around the club. The biggest issue has been the attack. Most of Cagliari’s goals came earlier in the season, and since February the team has averaged less than one goal per match at 0.5.

Atalanta Still Have Something to Play For

After the managerial change, Atalanta made a strong push and briefly entered the race for a Champions League place. However, problems with finishing chances arrived at the worst possible time. The team did not look worse than its opponents in any of those games, but it took only one point from Serie A matches against Juventus (0-1) and Roma (1-1), then lost to Lazio on penalties in the Coppa Italia semifinals.

Still, the season is not over for La Dea. Raffaele Palladino’s side still have a chance to finish in the top five and qualify for the Europa League. An unexpected leader has emerged in Montenegro forward Nikola Krstovic, who has produced goal contributions in three of his last four official matches. By individual xG, he has been the top player in Serie A across the last five rounds.

Predicted Lineup

Predicted Lineup: Cagliari vs Atalanta

Cagliari (4-3-2-1): Caprile – Palestra, Mina, Dossena, Obert – Deiola, Gaetano, Adopo – Folorunsho, S. Esposito – Borrelli

Out: Felici, Idrissi, Pavoletti, Mazzitelli (all injured)

Manager: Fabio Pisacane

Atalanta (3-4-2-1): Carnesecchi – Scalvini, Djimsiti, Kolasinac – Bellanova, Ederson, De Roon, Zappacosta – De Ketelaere, Raspadori – Krstovic

Out: Rossi, Hien, Bernasconi (all injured)

Manager: Raffaele Palladino

Stats and Trends

Across the four Serie A matches these teams played over the last two rounds, none finished with fewer than 11 corners. Over 10.5 total corners is worth considering here as well.

Atalanta have not lost the yellow-card count in their last five away league matches, while Cagliari have won that category only once in their last seven home games. The visitors also look appealing in the cards market.

Main Prediction

Best Bet: Atalanta to Win at 1.79

Raffaele Palladino has clearly improved Atalanta, and even in their recent matches with poor results, the team still played well. This time they face an average Cagliari side that has taken only one point from its last six matches against top-10 opponents. Atalanta’s away record is also strong, with just one Serie A road loss since mid-December. Cagliari, meanwhile, have lost five of their last six league matches. Atalanta to win at 1.79 is the preferred pick.

Goals Prediction: Atalanta’s defense has not been fully reliable lately, though, and the team has kept only two clean sheets in its last 14 matches in all competitions. Cagliari also scored against Carnesecchi in the first meeting, and that was away from home. Both Teams to Score – Yes at 1.87 is a reasonable option.

Correct Score Prediction: That said, Cagliari rarely score more than once. The last time they did so was back in January. Atalanta, meanwhile, concede only 0.94 goals per away Serie A match. The correct score pick here is 1-2 at 9.25.