Phoenix Mercury (W) vs Minnesota Lynx (W) 2 June 2026 Prediction

Last year’s finalists, the Mercury, have lost their rhythm and could now suffer a sixth straight defeat. The opponent is the Lynx, currently looking like the strongest team in the league. Can Minnesota extend its winning streak to five games?

Phoenix Mercury

The Mercury are clearly in a slump, having lost seven of their last eight games. For example, Phoenix failed to beat teams like the Tempo (90-98) and the Sparks (88-97), even though it was favored at home in both matchups. Home court has not been much of an advantage either, with the Mercury losing three of their last four games there.

Minnesota Lynx

The Lynx have exceeded expectations this regular season, especially since they are still playing without their best player, Collier. Across their last seven games, the Minneapolis team has six wins. What stands out is that even without Collier and the departed Smith, last season’s Defensive Player of the Year, Minnesota still owns the league’s second-best defense, allowing 79.1 points per game.

Head-to-Head History

Last year, the teams split their head-to-head meetings with four wins each. This regular season, they have met once, with the Lynx winning 88-84.

Phoenix vs Minnesota Prediction: Minnesota to Win at 1.81

• Main Pick: The Lynx have looked very convincing in recent weeks, including four wins by 10+ points in their latest winning run. They gave opponents very little room, including a strong Dream team (96-81) that won the East in 2025 with a 30-14 record. The Mercury are too inconsistent right now to match this version of the Lynx. We are backing Minnesota to win at 1.81.
• Total Pick: Their previous head-to-head meeting produced 172 points. Another factor is that both teams tend to score well in games they win this season. The Mercury scored 91+ points in both of their victories, while the Lynx scored 85+ in five of their six wins. We will take over 167.5 total points at 1.85.