Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk 2 June 2026 Prediction

The upcoming quarterfinal will be Svitolina’s sixth at the Paris Grand Slam. So far, Elina has not managed to get past this stage. To end that run, the world No. 7 will have to beat her countrywoman Kostyuk, who has not lost since March. Can she do it?

Court speed: 4/10

Svitolina

Svitolina is the world No. 7. Over the first five months of the calendar year, Elina won 33 of her 40 matches and claimed two titles. First, she won on hard courts in Auckland, then she took the title in Rome.

During the 2026 season, Elina has converted almost 50% of her break points. That makes her strong results this season easy to understand. The Ukrainian has also been reliable in key moments, saving more than 64% of break points on average.

Elina has always played well on clay. Her six Roland Garros quarterfinals, including this season, speak for themselves. Over her career, the Ukrainian has won the clay-court WTA 1000 event in Rome three times, which are probably her biggest achievements on this surface.

Kostyuk

Kostyuk is currently having the best season of her career. The Ukrainian has 22 wins in 26 matches in 2026. She has also won titles, taking the trophy in Rouen and then winning the WTA 1000 event in Madrid, the biggest title of her career.

This season, the Ukrainian has won more than 75% of her service games. With that level of stability behind her serve, she can take more risks. That is exactly what Marta has been doing on return, winning around 48% of her opponents’ service games. Her recent match against Swiatek confirmed it, as the Ukrainian converted 6 of her 9 break-point chances.

Can you believe that Kostyuk enters the French Open quarterfinal on a 15-match winning streak on clay? That is exactly the case. Historically, Marta had not been known for outstanding clay-court results, but this season has been an exception.

Tournament Path

• Svitolina could have gone out of the French Open in the first round, when she beat Bondar only in a third-set super tiebreak (3-6, 6-1, 7-6). As for matches against stronger opponents, Elina beat Bencic in the Round of 16 after losing the opening set (4-6, 6-4, 6-0).
• Kostyuk has dropped only one set on her way to the quarterfinals, having some trouble against American player Volynets (6-7, 6-3, 6-3). In the Round of 16, however, Marta removed any doubts about her readiness to challenge for the Paris Grand Slam. The world No. 15 beat four-time tournament champion Swiatek, making six breaks and hitting almost twice as many winners as her opponent (25 vs 13).

Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk Prediction: Kostyuk to Win at 1.82

Main prediction: Kostyuk is producing excellent results. The world No. 15 has 15 clay-court wins this spring and no losses on the surface. Over the past four weeks, Marta has beaten three top-10 players: Mirra Andreeva, Pegula, and Swiatek. Given her current level, a win over Svitolina would not be surprising. Elina has reached the Roland Garros quarterfinals for the second year in a row, but her five previous attempts to move past this stage all ended in defeat. That is a pattern, but Kostyuk’s potential win here would not be unexpected. She is playing too well right now. The pick is Kostyuk to win at 1.82.

Total prediction: Beating Svitolina in straight sets is a very difficult task. This is not about doubting Kostyuk, but about respecting Svitolina’s competitiveness. Elina’s last six matches against top-20 players have gone to three sets, which says a lot about her ability to stay in matches. Their most recent head-to-head meeting, two years ago, was also competitive: Kostyuk won, but only in a deciding set (6-2, 2-6, 6-2). It is hard to expect either player to win this match comfortably. The pick is over 21.5 games at 1.81.