Natus Vincere vs MOUZ 26 June 2026 Prediction

MOUZ recovered after a poor start to the qualifier and ended a four-match losing streak. Next, they face a stronger NAVI side that enters the match as the clear favorite. Can MOUZ make it difficult?

Event Format: online

NAVI Still Lack Momentum

The team are going through a difficult stretch. They recently fell short in the closed qualifier for the Esports World Cup 2026, stopping one step away from the main event. NAVI started the current qualifier with a win over MODUS, but then lost 0-2 to Nigma Galaxy.

Over the last three months, NAVI have played 58 maps and got first blood in 52% of them, converting that advantage into a win 60% of the time. They were first to 10 kills on 46% of maps, with an 81% win rate when reaching F10 first. Their average game duration is 40 minutes.

MOUZ Still Need More Time Together

After a run of poor results, MOUZ made roster changes. Before The International 2026 qualifier, panto joined the lineup, and the team have already played two series with him. In the first round of the upper bracket, MOUZ lost to Yellow Submarine, but then beat Inner Circle convincingly in the next match.

Over the last three months, MOUZ have played 61 maps. They got first blood in 63% of them and converted that early advantage into a win on 47% of maps. The team were first to 10 kills in 65% of games, with a 49% win rate after reaching F10 first. Their average game duration is 40 minutes.

What to Watch

• 10 of NAVI’s last 12 games had fewer than 50 kills.
• MOUZ were first to 10 kills on 8 of their last 10 maps.
• MOUZ took at least one map in 5 of the last 6 head-to-head BO3 series between these lineups.

NAVI vs MOUZ Prediction: MOUZ +1.5 Maps Handicap

Main Prediction: We do not expect an easy match for the favorite. MOUZ have been fairly consistent, taking at least one map in 8 of their last 10 matches. NAVI are also a comfortable opponent for them, as the head-to-head record between these lineups is 5-3 in MOUZ’s favor. The pick is MOUZ +1.5 maps handicap at 1.53.

Additional Bet: MOUZ get early advantages much more often than NAVI. Over the last three months, they were first to 10 kills in 65% of games, while NAVI were at 46%. MOUZ also won the race to 10 kills on 8 of their last 10 maps. We will also take MOUZ to be first to 10 kills on Map 1 at 2.05.