Empoli vs SS Arezzo 11 September 2026 Prediction

  Prediction by   Gevorg Danielyan     September 9, 2026 

Empoli has made a solid start in Serie B, while Arezzo enters this match after a 5-0 defeat. The hosts are in better form and are expected to control possession. Arezzo must address its defensive problems to avoid another loss.

Empoli

Empoli opened its Serie B campaign with a 1-0 win over Cremonese, followed by a 3-1 loss to Mantova and a 1-0 victory against Carrarese. The cup match against Pisa ended 1-1 in regulation, but the Tuscan side lost the penalty shootout. Empoli prefers to control the ball and recorded 59% possession away to Carrarese in the previous round.

The team uses a 3-1-4-2 formation with numbers in central midfield, helping it dictate the tempo and limit scoring chances. Empoli has conceded four goals in four matches across all competitions. Goalkeeper Jacopo Seghetti has played an important role, particularly when dealing with crosses, and has already kept two clean sheets in the league.

Arezzo

Manager Cristian Bucchi's side began its Coppa Italia campaign with a 2-0 win over Brescia before losing 1-0 to Cagliari. Arezzo's Serie B results have been inconsistent. It defeated Avellino 2-1, then lost 3-2 to Palermo and 5-0 to Verona. Wingers Alessandro Arena and Camillo Tavernelli have key roles in attack, creating overloads against opposing fullbacks and setting up shooting opportunities.

Arezzo plays with a high defensive line but sometimes struggles to recover after losing possession. This often leads to tactical fouls intended to stop counterattacks. The problem was clear against Verona. An early red card forced Arezzo to change its approach, but the team failed to form a compact low block and conceded five second-half goals.

Team News

Empoli has no injury or suspension concerns. Attacking midfielder Edoardo Saporiti has been one of the team's most notable players. The playmaker stands 6-foot-1 (186 cm), giving him an aerial presence that is unusual for a No. 10. He also looks to finish attacks rather than focusing only on distribution. Saporiti has taken eight shots and scored twice in four matches.

Arezzo must reorganize its defense because Julian Illanes is suspended. The center back had established himself in the starting lineup but was sent off in the previous match. Mauro Coppolaro is expected to replace him in central defense. He struggled after coming off the bench last time out but should receive another opportunity.

Empoli vs Arezzo Prediction: Empoli to Win

Main prediction: Empoli has won two of its first three Serie B matches, while Arezzo has lost two in a row. The visitors are also without a starting center back. Empoli is at full strength and should take advantage of Arezzo's defensive issues. Empoli to win at odds of 2.05. We estimate the probability at 54%, with value available at 1.85 or higher.

Goals prediction: Arezzo has conceded eight goals in its last two matches. Empoli has scored exactly once in each of its four games this season, but the hosts should create more chances against a weakened defense. Empoli team total over 1.5 goals at odds of 2.25. We estimate the probability at 49%, with value available at 2.04 or higher.