Genoa vs Juventus Turin 28 October 2026 Prediction

After eight Serie A games, Juventus remain outside the European qualification places. A win over Genoa would move them into the top six, at least temporarily. Juventus have won all four of the teams’ most recent meetings.

Genoa’s Attack Remains Inefficient

Genoa have won their last two home games, easing some of the pressure on manager Daniele De Rossi after a poor start to the season. But their performances against Fiorentina (2-1) and Venezia (1-0) left concerns. After Mikael Ellertsson scored against Venezia, Genoa dropped deep and allowed the league’s bottom side several chances. Their 2.01 expected goals against (xGA) was a season high.

Genoa rank second to last in Serie A for both goals scored (0.75 per game) and expected goals (0.83 xG per game). They have regained some attacking options, including Roma loanee Tommaso Baldanzi and center forward Lorenzo Colombo, Genoa’s leading scorer last season.

Juventus’ Results Have Lagged Behind Their Performances

Juventus ended a two-game winless run in Serie A with a 2-0 victory over Lecce. They created more chances than Lecce and converted enough of them to secure the win. Juventus have also recorded a higher xG total than their opponent in every competitive match this season. Their seventh-place position after eight games does not reflect those performances.

With starting wingers Francisco Conceição and Kenan Yıldız injured, along with backup option Nico González, manager Luciano Spalletti has switched to a 3-5-2 with two forwards. Randal Kolo Muani and Nick Woltemade are expected to start up front, with Douglas Luiz and Weston McKennie supporting them from midfield. Zeki Çelik is the only absence in defense, though Juventus have kept just two clean sheets in their last six league games.

Genoa vs Juventus Predicted Lineup

Genoa (3-4-1-2): Bijlow – Marcandalli, Østigård, Vásquez – Ellertsson, Traoré, Frendrup, El Shaarawy – Baldanzi – Vitinha, Colombo

Unavailable: Ehizibue, Venturino, Sow, Viafe, Nuredini (all injured)

Manager: Daniele De Rossi

Juventus (3-5-2): Vicario – Gatti, Bremer, Lucumí – Kalulu, Koopmeiners, D. Luiz, McKennie, Cambiaso – Kolo Muani, Woltemade

Unavailable: Locatelli, Yıldız, Ekhator, Thuram, Grabara, Conceição, N. González, Çelik (all injured)

Manager: Luciano Spalletti

Genoa vs Juventus Prediction: Juventus Handicap -1.5

Main prediction: Juventus beat Lecce without much difficulty, and Genoa have struggled against stronger opponents. De Rossi’s side have lost to Roma (0-2), Como (1-4), Lazio (0-1), and Napoli (0-2) this season, with three of those defeats coming by at least two goals. The pick is Juventus -1.5 at 2.91.

Goals prediction: Juventus have conceded an average of one goal per Serie A game this season. Genoa, meanwhile, have scored in six of their seven competitive matches at the Luigi Ferraris. Both teams to score: Yes at 2.03 is another option.