07 Elversberg vs Darmstadt 27 October 2026 Prediction

  Prediction by   Gevorg Danielyan     October 25, 2026 

Darmstadt have yet to earn a point away from home in the 2. Bundesliga and needed a narrow win over fourth-tier Carl Zeiss Jena to advance in the German Cup. Their next trip is to Elversberg, who have produced their best results at home.

Elversberg: Strong Results at Home

Elversberg started the season well but have struggled away from home and against stronger opponents. Their 4-0 loss to RB Leipzig in the latest round was another example. At home, Vincent Wagner’s side have been more competitive. They beat Bayer Leverkusen 3-2 and Augsburg 4-3, then lost 2-1 to Bayern Munich in a match in which they also had a goal ruled out for offside. Elversberg opened their German Cup campaign with a 3-1 away win over lower-division Duisburg.

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Elversberg have few injury concerns ahead of this round. Winger Tom Zimmerschied and center back Luis Seifert remain out, but they have made just two league appearances between them. Fullback Jan Gyamerah, who has played six matches this season, could be a more significant absence after coming off early in each of the last two games. Elversberg have had defensive problems even at home. In three league games at the Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, their opponents have generated an average of 3.2 expected goals (xG), while Elversberg have conceded 2.33 goals per game. Losing a regular defender could make that record harder to improve.

Darmstadt: Four Away Games, Four Losses

Darmstadt are usually competitive in the 2. Bundesliga, but a busy summer of roster changes has left them still working on their combinations. At least five newcomers are now starting regularly. Their results have been notably worse away from home. Darmstadt have lost all four away league games: 4-0 to Karlsruhe, 1-0 to Dynamo Dresden, 3-0 to Kaiserslautern and 5-1 to Wolfsburg. They have the weakest away attack and the worst away goal differential.

The numbers show problems at both ends. Darmstadt average 0.85 xG and 0.25 goals scored per away game. They allow 1.59 xG but concede 3.25 goals per game. Central midfielder Merveille Papela, fullbacks Matthias Bader and Fabian Nürnberger, and winger Luca Marseiler are injured, though none has played this season. Manager Florian Kohfeldt has pointed to lapses in concentration and costly mistakes as reasons for the poor results. Darmstadt also had trouble against fourth-tier Carl Zeiss Jena in the German Cup, edging them 2-1.

Elversberg vs Darmstadt Predicted Lineup

Elversberg (4-2-3-1): Kristof – Zierch, Pinckert, Rohr, Campbell – Keidel, Poreba – Petkov, Onyeka, Adam – Mokwa

Unavailable: Seifert, Zimmerschied (injured); Gyamerah (doubtful)

Manager: Vincent Wagner

Darmstadt (4-4-2): Schuhen – Mikkelbrencis, Pfeiffer, Lührs, Petretta – Richter, Klefisch, Akiyama, Weißhaupt – Lakenmacher, Smith

Unavailable: Papela, Bader, Marseiler, Nürnberger (all injured)

Manager: Florian Kohfeldt

Elversberg vs Darmstadt Prediction: Elversberg Handicap -1.5

Main pick: Kohfeldt has cited his team’s mistakes as a major reason for their losses, and this away game is unlikely to offer an easy reset. Elversberg have beaten Bayer Leverkusen at home, competed closely with Bayern Munich and generated an average of 2.06 xG per home game. Darmstadt, meanwhile, have conceded more than twice the xG their opponents have created on the road. Those defensive errors give Elversberg a good chance to win by multiple goals. The pick is Elversberg -1.5 at 2.04.

Goals pick: Elversberg average 2.6 goals per home league game, but they have not kept a clean sheet there and have conceded at least twice in each match. They also conceded against Duisburg in the cup, albeit away from home. Including their cup match, Darmstadt have generated 0.97 xG per away game and should have chances to score. The additional pick is both teams to score: yes at 1.78.