Andorra vs Burgos CF 26 October 2026 Prediction

Andorra has lost three of its five home games and will be without two regular starters in central positions. Burgos has also struggled on the road, but its organized defending could help it take advantage of the hosts’ absences.

Home Struggles and Key Absences

Andorra sits 18th with 10 points. Manager Carles Manso’s team has won twice and lost three times at home. Five of its eight home goals came in a 5-1 opening win over Ceuta. In the other four games, Andorra scored three and conceded seven.

Andorra has plenty of possession but does not consistently create good chances. It held 67% possession in a 2-0 loss to Girona, yet six shots produced just 0.31 xG. A week earlier, Andorra generated 2.76 xG in a 1-0 win over Castellón. Its buildup play has been inconsistent.

Defender Diego Alende and midfielder Marc Domènech are suspended. They have played 771 and 720 minutes, respectively, through 10 rounds. If Bombardó remains unavailable, Molina could move into central defense, with Schneider and Solosábal starting in midfield. Those changes would disrupt two units and could make it harder for Andorra to play through the press.

Solid Defense and Road Struggles

Burgos is eighth with 17 points. It has conceded 10 goals in 10 games, but has taken only four points from four road games, winning once. Burgos defends well without the ball and picks its moments to press. That could matter against Andorra’s depleted defense and midfield.

Burgos created far better chances than Sabadell in its last game, leading 2.51 to 0.48 in xG. Its attack has been less effective away from home, though, producing just 0.90 xG against Las Palmas and 1.08 against Almería. David González and Kevin Appin were injured against Sabadell, while Lensina is still recovering. González, who has three goals, could be replaced by Curro Sánchez, with Dadié taking Appin’s spot. Burgos can keep its usual formation, but will have fewer attacking options.

Andorra vs Burgos Predicted Lineup

Andorra (4-3-3): Ovono; Carrique, Molina, Spatz, Vilà; Schneider, Akman, Solosábal; Díaz, Cano, Sidibé

Unavailable: Andoni López, Gaël Alonso, Le Normand (injured); Alende, Domènech (suspended). Bombardó is questionable.

Manager: Carles Manso

Burgos (4-2-3-1): Cantero; Lisancos, Luengo, Sierra, Martínez; Vencedor, Galdames; Dadié, Curro, Llabrés; Karrikaburu

Unavailable: González, Appin, Lensina (injured)

Manager: Sergio Francisco

Andorra vs Burgos Prediction: Burgos to Win or Draw

Main pick: Andorra has lost three of five home games, and the suspensions of Alende and Domènech force changes in defense and midfield. Burgos has struggled away from home, but its defending without the ball could help it capitalize on mistakes in the middle. Pick: Burgos to win or draw at 1.93. We estimate a 60% chance, making odds above 1.67 worthwhile.

Goals pick: Both teams have scored 13 goals through 10 games, while Burgos concedes an average of one per game. The visitors have scored only three times in four road games and are now without David González. Since putting five past Ceuta, Andorra has scored eight goals in nine games. Pick: Under 2.5 goals at 1.91. We estimate a 55% chance, making odds above 1.82 worthwhile.