Dallas Stars vs New York Islanders 25 October 2026 Prediction

The Dallas Stars have won four straight games and moved back into contention near the top of the Western Conference. The New York Islanders have earned points in five straight but remain close to the Eastern Conference playoff cutoff. Dallas will look to use home ice to avenge its loss in the teams’ most recent meeting.

Dallas Has the League’s Best Defensive Record

Dallas has allowed just 17 goals through 10 games, the fewest in the league. Jake Oettinger has stopped more than 93% of the shots he has faced and recorded three shutouts.

The Stars’ four-game winning streak includes a 3-2 shootout victory over Colorado. The teams are close in the standings and could be competing for the top spots in the West later in the season.

Dallas Stars Predicted Lineup: Oettinger (DeSmith) — Harley, Heiskanen — Steel, Johnston, Rantanen

Other Players on the Roster: Defensemen: Bichsel, Lundkvist, Capobianco, Myers; forwards: Robertson, Hintz, Seguin, Gritsyuk, Hyry, Benn, Kiviranta, Martino, Blackwell

Unavailable: Duchene, Beck, Lindell (injured); Faksa (questionable)

Manager: Glen Gulutzan

Islanders Continue to Earn Points

Peter DeBoer’s team has earned at least one point in each of its last five games, though that stretch includes a 3-2 overtime loss to Los Angeles and a 2-1 shootout loss to Ottawa. The Islanders remain in an Eastern Conference playoff spot.

Their recent 4-1 win over Toronto stands out. New York was outshot 29-20 and trailed 4.3 to 2.1 in expected goals, but made more of its chances. Ilya Sorokin posted a .966 save percentage.

New York Islanders Predicted Lineup: Sorokin (Varlamov) — Stanley, Schaefer — Holmstrom, Horvat, Palmieri

Other Players on the Roster: Defensemen: Pelech, Pulock, Kessel, DeAngelo; forwards: Heineman, Schenn, Eklund, Palat, Pageau, Duclair, MacLean, Cizikas, Chaffee

Unavailable: Barzal, Romanov, Ritchie, Maccelli (injured)

Manager: Peter DeBoer

Islanders Won Both 2025–26 Meetings

New York won both meetings with Dallas in the 2025–26 regular season. The Islanders took the road game 3-2 on a shorthanded game-winner, then won 2-1 at home. Bo Horvat and Calum Ritchie scored in both games.

Key Stats

Dallas allows opponents 2.6 expected goals per game, a mark bettered by only three teams.

The Islanders have converted 19.4% of their power plays, ranking 11th in the league.

The Stars have scored on 8.9% of their shots on goal, the fifth-lowest rate in the league.

Dallas Stars vs New York Islanders Prediction: Dallas Stars to Win

Main prediction: Dallas has won four straight, including its shootout victory over Colorado. New York has earned points consistently, but three of its last four road games ended in losses. The pick is Dallas Stars to win at 1.81. A 3-1 correct score is another option.

Total goals prediction: Both teams have defended well. Over their last five games, the Islanders have scored 13 goals and allowed eight in regulation; Dallas has scored 12 and allowed nine. Neither of the last two meetings reached six total goals. The pick is under 5.5 goals at 2.05.