Genoa vs Venezia 25 October 2026 Prediction

Venezia remain last in Serie A, but a win over Genoa would move them above their opponents. They have not won away at Genoa since 1996, a run of nine competitive matches.

Genoa's Difficult Start

Genoa have struggled early in the season again. After seven rounds under manager Daniele De Rossi, they sit 17th, outside the relegation zone only on tiebreakers. Following the international break, Genoa produced their best performance of the season in a 2-1 home win over Fiorentina. They then lost 2-0 to a rotated Roma side.

Genoa have been relatively solid defensively, but they create little at the other end. They average 0.9 expected goals per match; only Parma have a lower figure, at 0.74. Injuries add to the problem. Midfielder Djibril Sow, who helps move the ball into the final third, and starting striker Lorenzo Colombo, Genoa's leading scorer last season, will both miss the Venezia match.

Nicola Makes a Winning Start

Davide Nicola has a record of helping Serie A teams avoid relegation. Under Giovanni Stroppa, Venezia played an open style and lost their first six league games. Nicola took a more cautious approach in his first match. Venezia defended in a compact shape and looked for occasional counterattacks, beating Napoli 1-0 at home.

Venezia are likely to take the same approach away at Genoa. They have injuries of their own, including several center backs, but the back three of Jesus, Halal and Moreno handled a tougher attacking test against Napoli last time out.

Genoa vs Venezia Predicted Lineups

Genoa (3-4-2-1): Bijlow; Marcandalli, Østigård, Vásquez; Ellertsson, Traoré, Frendrup, Puzcka; Messias, El Shaarawy; Osmajić

Unavailable: Nuredini, Venturino, Sow, Colombo and Havel (injured); Baldanzi (doubtful)

Manager: Daniele De Rossi

Venezia (3-5-2): Stanković; Jesus, Halal, Moreno; Aino, Pérez, Bašić, Zom, Haps; Yeboah, Adams

Unavailable: Franjic, Busio, Šverko, Bella-Kotchap, Correia and Adorante (injured)

Manager: Davide Nicola

Genoa vs Venezia Prediction: Venezia to Win

Main prediction: Venezia are unlikely to commit as many players forward under Nicola as they did under Stroppa. Even against a team near them in the standings, they can be expected to defend deep, leaving Genoa to create chances through sustained possession. Genoa have had more of the ball than their opponent in only one league match this season: a 2-1 loss to Parma, Parma's only Serie A win. Venezia or draw is a reasonable option, but the main pick is Venezia to win at 3.72.

Goals prediction: Venezia's first match under Nicola finished with one goal, and this fixture could also be low-scoring. Genoa average just 0.71 goals per league game, the second-lowest mark in Serie A. The pick is under 2.5 goals at 1.88.