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MatchesSoccerSunderland - Leeds United
EnglandPremier League
Sunderland
Sunderland
16:30
25 oct
Leeds United
Leeds United

Sunderland vs Leeds United 25 October 2026 Prediction

Gevorg Danielyan   Prediction by   Gevorg Danielyan     October 23, 2026 

Sunderland could remain at the bottom of the Premier League table if their losing streak continues. Leeds have not won often either, though they have competed well against some of the league’s strongest teams. Can Sunderland improve at the Stadium of Light, or will Leeds take advantage and claim all three points?

Sunderland: Defensive Problems and Poor Finishing

Sunderland enter Matchweek 8 in last place with four points. They have lost four straight league games and failed to score in three of them. That run includes losses to Arsenal (0-2) and Manchester City (3-5), two of the league’s strongest sides, followed by defeats to Brighton (0-2) and Bournemouth (0-2). The Bournemouth result needs some context: Danso was sent off in the 17th minute, leaving Régis Le Bris’s team a man down for most of the match. Even so, Sunderland’s finishing remains a concern ahead of the Leeds game.

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Le Bris also has defensive absences to manage. Danso is suspended, while Ballard is recovering from a hamstring injury. With both center backs unavailable, Sunderland will need to adjust their back line. Brobbey, who has scored three goals in five Premier League appearances, should be ready by Sunday, according to the manager. His return would give Sunderland another option up front, although he is not certain to start.

Sunderland drew 1-1 with Lech in the Europa League on Thursday. They took 25 shots, including 11 on target, but scored only once. That did little to ease concerns about their scoring before facing Leeds.

Leeds: Consistent Results but Few Wins

Leeds enter the round in seventh place with 10 points. They have lost just one of seven Premier League games, with two wins and four draws. Daniel Farke’s side drew 1-1 at home against Manchester United last time out. Calvert-Lewin scored his fourth league goal in seven appearances, but his status for this match is uncertain. He, Stach and Okafor all missed training during the week. Farke hopes they will be available on Sunday.

Away from home, Leeds have beaten Nottingham Forest 1-0, earned a point against a Brighton side currently in the top three, and lost a close game to Arsenal, 2-1. Their limited number of road wins should be viewed in the context of those opponents.

Rodon is still recovering from a hamstring injury, while Joseph continues his rehabilitation from a serious knee injury. James completed a full week of training and is back in contention for a place in the lineup.

Sunderland vs Leeds Predicted Lineup

Sunderland (4-2-3-1): Roefs – Hume, Mukiele, Alderete, Reinildo – Xhaka, Sadiki – Rigg, Le Fée, Angulo – Tuterov

Out or doubtful: Mundle, Ballard, Meunier (injured); Danso (suspended); Brobbey, Isidor (doubtful)

Manager: Régis Le Bris

Leeds (3-4-2-1): Trafford – Justin, Elvedi, Muharemovic – Bogle, Ampadu, Tanaka, Gudmundsson – Aaronson, Wilson – Nmecha

Out or doubtful: Rodon, Joseph (injured); Calvert-Lewin, Stach, Okafor (doubtful)

Manager: Daniel Farke

Referee: Stuart Attwell

Attwell averaged 4.68 yellow cards per game last Premier League season, the highest rate among referees. He has shown 25 yellows in four matches this season, an average of 6.25 per game. He has also issued two red cards and awarded one penalty.

Sunderland vs Leeds Prediction: Leeds to Win at 2.51

Main prediction: Sunderland have lost four straight Premier League matches by a combined score of 11-3 and will be without center backs Danso and Ballard. Leeds have taken points from six of their seven league games, losing only to defending champion Arsenal (2-1). Sunderland also have less time to recover after playing in Europe on Thursday. Our pick is Leeds to win at 2.51.

Team total prediction: Sunderland have conceded 14 goals in seven Premier League games, an average of two per match, and are missing two center backs. Leeds have scored in eight of their nine competitive matches this season, including four goals against Newcastle, three against Chelsea and two against Nottingham Forest in the League Cup. Our pick is Leeds over 1.5 team goals at 2.51.

Editor’s pick

Leeds to win@151
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This editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered betting advice. Please do your own research before placing a bet.

User Gevorg Danielyan’s avatar
Gevorg DanielyanGevorg Danielyan is a sports writer and betting analyst at Tipsters with more than 15 years of personal experience in sports betting. A lifelong sports fan with a particular passion for football, he has worked with several major sports media outlets before joining Tipsters as a prediction author. His approach is built around detailed match analysis, including team form, lineups, injuries, tactical matchups, motivation and other factors that can influence the result. Having followed and participated in sports betting since 2010, Gevorg combines practical betting experience with an editorial approach to explain the reasoning behind every prediction.
Written October 23, 2026

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Match Info

Stadium of Light
England
Sunderland48 707
Partly cloudypressure748mmHgtemperature9°Cwind11.m/shumidity63%

Sunderland vs Leeds United 25 October 2026 Public Opinion

Public Opinion Browse all match signals
Main Outcomes 91 predictions
Double Chance 6 predictions
Match Total 29 predictions
Both Teams To Score 23 predictions
Team 1 Total 1 predictions
Team 2 Total 13 predictions
Asian Handicap 9 predictions
Total Corners 12 predictions
Team Corner Totals 5 predictions
1st Half Total 5 predictions
Yellow Cards Total 3 predictions
Correct Score 2 predictions
Yellow Cards Team Totals 2 predictions
Yellow Cards 1X2 1 predictions

Match referee & statistics

England
Stuart Attwell Referee
Tournament
Season

EPL · 2026/2027

Averages per match
Matches
4
in this selection
Yellow cards
6.25
per match
Red cards
0.25
per match
Penalties
0.25
per match
Fouls
26.75
per match

Season by season

16 seasons

EPL · Yellow cards per match

Tournament average · 3.88

Select a bar to view that season. A dash means no data.

Against the overall average

Selected Overall average
Yellow cards+2.93
6.25
3.32
Red cards+0.16
0.25
0.09
Penalties+0.07
0.25
0.18
Fouls+10.04
26.75
16.71

Based on 542 matches. This referee’s average across all tournaments.

Average Team Stats in Premier League (26/27)

Average stats
Sunderland
Sunderland
Leeds United
Leeds United
Goals
0.86
1.29
Goals conceded
2.00
0.86
Corners
4.29
4.00
Fouls
11.43
12.71
Offsides
2.43
2.43
Attacks
96.14
99.00
Dangerous attacks
45.71
37.14
Tackles
14.86
15.86
Interceptions
8.14
10.00
Clean sheets, %
14.29
28.57
Ball possession, %
48.43
46.86
Average rating
6.68
6.87

Head-to-Head

Sunderland
Sunderland
Leeds United
Leeds United
20% 1 win
40% 2 draws
40% 2 wins

Recent Matches

Sunderland
Sunderland160 matches
20%
1 win
20%
1 draw
60%
3 losses
Leeds United
Leeds United154 matches
20%
1 win
40%
2 draws
40%
2 losses
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