Inter Milano vs Fiorentina 25 October 2026 Prediction

Inter leads Serie A after seven rounds and will look to stay in first place against Fiorentina. The visitors have lost their last three trips to Inter.

Serie A’s Best Attack

The defending champions have been effective in possession, creating chances through central combinations and runs from their wingbacks. Inter leads Serie A in both goals scored and expected goals (xG), which has helped offset its defensive issues. There has been some improvement at the back, too: Inter has kept clean sheets in two of its last three home games across all competitions.

Goalkeeper Josep Martínez played a key role in the 1-0 Champions League win over Shakhtar, making up for mistakes in earlier matches. Inter held on despite Alessandro Bastoni’s red card in the 68th minute, ending Shakhtar’s nine-game unbeaten run. Martínez is likely to return to the bench against Fiorentina, with Ivan Provedel expected to make his first appearance of the season. Carlos Augusto, who scored the winner against Shakhtar, is expected to start again. Lautaro Martínez remains out, with the captain not expected back until matchweek 12.

Vanoli Looks for Balance

Paolo Vanoli’s return as Fiorentina manager brought an initial improvement. His team went unbeaten in its first three competitive games under him, including a 1-1 home draw with Napoli. Results have since declined. After the international break, Fiorentina lost 2-1 to Genoa and 3-1 to Como, leaving the club in the relegation zone.

Fiorentina’s main issue is the space it leaves behind when attacking. Vanoli has tried to make the most of creative players such as Franco Mastantuono, but his team is often exposed in midfield after losing possession. Arthur Atta’s injury makes that problem harder to address. Before the international break, the midfielder signed from Udinese had provided an effective link between defense and attack.

Inter vs Fiorentina Predicted Lineup

Inter (3-5-2): Provedel; Bisseck, Akanji, Bastoni; Diouf, Barella, Çalhanoğlu, Mkhitaryan, Augusto; Esposito, Thuram.

Unavailable: Stones, Jones, L. Martínez, Pavard, Henrique (all injured).

Manager: Cristian Chivu.

Fiorentina (4-3-3): De Gea; Dodô, Drăgușin, Pongračić, Jiménez; Ndour, Fagioli, Brescianini; Mastantuono, Pellegrino, N’Jie.

Unavailable: Parisi, Atta (both injured); Ranieri (doubtful).

Manager: Paolo Vanoli.

Inter vs Fiorentina Prediction: Inter Handicap -1.5

Main prediction: Inter played in the Champions League during the week, so Chivu may rotate a few players. The squad has enough depth to do so, and its possession-based attack should find opportunities against a Fiorentina side that has struggled to defend transitions. Inter has won all four of its league games against teams in the bottom half of the table by at least two goals. The pick is Inter -1.5 at 1.97.

Goals prediction: Both teams’ games have featured plenty of goals this season. Inter’s Serie A matches have averaged a league-high 4.29 total goals, while Fiorentina’s have averaged 3.57, the fourth-highest mark. Over 3.5 goals at 2.06 is another option.