Auxerre vs Le Mans 25 October 2026 Prediction

Auxerre have moved away from the relegation zone with three wins in their last four games. Next they host Le Mans at Stade de l’Abbé-Deschamps. The promoted side have yet to settle in the top flight, particularly on defense.

Auxerre: Injury Situation Improving

Auxerre returned from the international break with a 4-1 loss at Rennes, following wins over Nice (1-0) and Brest (2-1). They responded with a 3-1 road win over Le Havre. Will Still’s side now return home, where they have lost just once in three games. They have allowed an average of 0.97 expected goals (xG) per home game, although they have conceded 1.33 actual goals per game.

Auxerre beat Le Havre despite several absences. Left winger Ryan Mandeng has since returned, while center back Telli Siwe and left-sided defender Marvin Senaya are training with the squad and could be available. Cameron Archer scored in four straight games before the latest round. When he failed to score against Le Havre, Danny Namaso contributed two goals and an assist.

Le Mans: Scoring Has Not Offset Defensive Problems

Le Mans have struggled in their first season back in the top flight, especially away from home. Their only win through seven rounds came at home. On the road, they lost to Rennes (3-2) and PSG (3-1) and drew with Nice (1-1). Patrick Videira’s side have allowed an average of 2.82 xG and conceded 2.33 goals per away game. Midfielder Adil Bouarabaa is out, while center backs Raúl Torrente and Harold Voyer are questionable.

Le Mans have been more effective going forward. They have generated an average of 1.92 xG per away game and scored in all three, despite averaging only 1.33 goals. Louis Mafouta has four goals and one assist in seven league games; Lucas Caloda has one goal and two assists in seven. Le Mans also scored against PSG while Bouarabaa, who has three goals and two assists in five appearances, was sidelined.

Predicted Lineup for Auxerre vs Le Mans

Auxerre (3-4-2-1): Nardi – Makosso, Tuanzebe, Akpa – Sy, Ahamada, Danois, Oppegard – Faivre, Namaso – Archer

Unavailable: Labo Lascary, S. Fofana, Diousse, Oko (injured); Senaya, Siwe (questionable)

Manager: Will Still

Le Mans (3-1-4-2): Kocik – Boisse, Yow, Sidibé – Bredel – Bouadé, Traoré, Vercruysse, Larouci – Gueye, Mafouta

Unavailable: Bouarabaa (injured); Kola, Torrente, Voyer (questionable)

Manager: Patrick Videira

Referee: Willy Delajod

In 12 official matches during the 2026-27 season, Delajod has called an average of 21.7 fouls and issued 2.33 yellow cards per game. He has not shown a red card but has awarded a penalty in one out of every four matches.

Auxerre vs Le Mans Prediction: Auxerre to Win at 2.09

Main prediction: Le Mans have yet to win away from home. They have allowed 2.82 xG and conceded more than two goals per road game, with two center backs also questionable for this match. Auxerre have won three of their last four, and their defensive options may improve before kickoff. After Auxerre’s win at Le Havre and Le Mans’ 3-0 home loss to Toulouse, the pick is Auxerre to win at 2.09.

Totals prediction: Le Mans have scored in all three away games, averaging 1.33 goals, and two of those matches went over 2.5 goals. Two of Auxerre’s three home games also went over 2.5; they have scored 1.33 goals per home game. With both teams capable of scoring, over 2.5 goals at 1.81 is the secondary pick.