Freiburg vs Bayern Munich 25 October 2026 Prediction

Bayern are the only German team yet to lose a competitive match this season. Their 6-1 win over RB Leipzig last weekend put them top of the Bundesliga. Freiburg had also been unbeaten, but a 2-1 loss away to Bayer Leverkusen cost them first place.

Bayern's Attack and Returning Starters

Bayern gave RB Leipzig little chance in their 6-1 home win. Vincent Kompany's side scored three unanswered goals before halftime and added three more after the break. Leipzig's goal came in stoppage time. On Wednesday, Bayern hosted Arsenal in the Champions League and led late on, but conceded an equalizer in a 2-2 draw. Bayern have won just one of their last four matches in all competitions, drawing the other three.

Bayern's attack has produced 38 goals in 11 competitive matches this season, and the team has scored at least twice in all but one of them. Bayern also lead the Bundesliga in expected goals by a wide margin, with 21.17 xG. Harry Kane has 10 goals and seven assists in all competitions.

Joshua Kimmich and Michael Olise are expected back in the starting lineup. Kimmich missed the Arsenal match for personal reasons, while Olise was suspended. Bayern will be without Luis Díaz, who came on in the second half against Arsenal but had to leave with an injury late in the game. Díaz gives Bayern pace, pressure on defenders and a scoring threat from the wing. With Jamal Musiala also injured, Bayern are missing two important attacking players, though they have enough depth to cover both absences. Bayern manager Vincent Kompany was also hospitalized ahead of the match.

Freiburg's Recent Defensive Results

Freiburg were unbeaten in competitive play a week ago, but they have since lost twice on the road. Julian Schuster's side first fell 2-1 to Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga. Freiburg took the lead, but Leverkusen finished with more shots on target, 5-2, and a higher xG total, 1.64 to 1.21.

Freiburg then lost 3-0 at Monaco in the Conference League on Thursday. They edged Monaco on xG, 1.26 to 1.15, but put only one of their 12 shots on target. Freiburg have allowed relatively few chances overall; their 5.17 expected goals against through six Bundesliga games is among the league's best marks. Still, they have conceded five goals in their last three league matches. They have also allowed five in two Conference League league-phase games.

Starting defensive midfielder Yannik Engelhardt, who has two goals in six Bundesliga appearances, is also a doubt. He took a blow to his left thigh against Monaco and was substituted in the first half. His status should become clearer closer to the match. If he cannot play, Patrick Osterhage is expected to take his place. Center back Philipp Lienhart was rested against Monaco and should return to the starting lineup. Freiburg's top scorer, Suzuki, is also available after serving a suspension in the previous league round. He has four Bundesliga goals.

Freiburg vs Bayern Predicted Lineup

Freiburg (4-2-3-1): Backhaus; Treu, Ginter, Lienhart, Makengo; Eggestein, Osterhage; Beste, Suzuki, Scherhant; Matanović.

Unavailable: Muslija (injury); Engelhardt (doubtful).

Manager: Julian Schuster.

Bayern (4-2-3-1): Neuer; Laimer, Upamecano, Tah, Brown; Kimmich, Pavlović; Olise, Gnabry, Davies; Kane.

Unavailable: Díaz, Musiala (both injured).

Manager: Vincent Kompany.

Referee: Felix Zwayer.

Zwayer has averaged four yellow cards and 21.65 fouls per game across his last 20 Bundesliga matches. In that span, he has sent off three players and awarded four penalties.

Freiburg vs Bayern Prediction: Freiburg Handicap +1.5

Main pick: Freiburg have lost twice in a week, but both defeats came away from home. They have won all five competitive home matches this season by a combined score of 18-5. Bayern, meanwhile, have one win and three draws away from home across the Bundesliga and Champions League this season. They have not beaten Freiburg by more than one goal in any of their last four visits. The pick is Freiburg handicap +1.5 at 1.89.

Goals pick: Freiburg have scored 18 goals in five home matches across all competitions this season, with at least two in every game. Suzuki's return gives them another attacking option. Bayern have conceded only five goals in six Bundesliga matches, but they allowed two in their most recent league away game against Augsburg and three away to Viking in the Champions League. Freiburg team total over 1.5 goals at 2.80 is worth considering.