Toulouse vs Troyes 25 October 2026 Prediction

Toulouse beat Le Mans 3-0 last week to extend its unbeaten run to four games. Next up is Troyes, which has lost five straight and remains in the relegation zone. Can Toulouse win by at least two goals?

Toulouse: Four Games Unbeaten

Toulouse sits in midtable but has taken seven points from its last three league games. The team is unbeaten in four. The win over Le Mans also brought its first shutout of the season. After the international break, manager Jens Berthel Askou’s side drew 2-2 away to Monaco.

Toulouse has scored at least twice in four consecutive games. Its 14.24 expected goals rank among the league’s top four, though it has scored 12. That xG figure is higher than Marseille’s 12.06, Lyon’s 11.54 and Lille’s 10.54. Toulouse is creating chances consistently, even if it has not converted all of them. It has no confirmed absences for this game.

Troyes: Five Straight Losses and Defensive Absences

Troyes has lost five straight games, each by at least two goals. Manager Stéphane Dumont’s side lost 3-1 at home to Lens in its most recent outing. Before that, it fell 2-0 away to both Lille and Angers. The goal against Lens ended a three-game scoring drought, but not the losing streak.

Troyes has conceded in six consecutive games. Defenders Yvann Titi and Anis Ouzenadji are out injured, while Ismaël Boura is questionable. Those absences could again leave Paolo Gozzi playing out of position at left back. Forward Yakouba Koné is also unavailable. Troyes will need to defend better against a Toulouse side that has scored at least twice in each of its last four games.

Toulouse vs Troyes Predicted Lineup

Toulouse (4-2-3-1): Restes – Messali, McKenzie, Nicolaisen, Tape – Sigur, Cásseres – Tengstedt, Jørgensen, Dønnum – Russell-Rowe

Questionable: Niflore, Oppong, Azizi

Manager: Jens Berthel Askou

Troyes (4-3-3): Bich – Maronnier, Monfray, Diaz, Gozzi – Milet, Diop, Dermane – Ifnaoui, Nkada, Ripart

Out: Titi, Ouzenadji, Koné (injuries). Questionable: Boura

Manager: Stéphane Dumont

Referee: Joffrey Kubler

Kubler averages four yellow cards and 27.5 fouls per game. His foul average is among the highest in Ligue 1 this season.

Toulouse vs Troyes Prediction: Toulouse Handicap -1.5

Main prediction: Toulouse beat Le Havre 3-2 and Le Mans 3-0, drew away to Monaco and has scored at least twice in four straight games. Troyes has lost five in a row by two or more goals and is missing key defenders. With no confirmed absences for the hosts, the pick is Toulouse -1.5 at 2.48.

Goals prediction: Toulouse has averaged 2.5 goals over its last four league games, though Lorient, Le Havre and Monaco each scored twice against it. Troyes may have chances of its own, but its recent defensive record and absences favor another high-scoring game. The additional pick is over 3.5 goals at 2.46.