Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Augsburg 27 October 2026 Prediction

Sonnenhof Grossaspach has reached the DFB-Pokal round of 32 for the first time. The third-tier club now faces Bundesliga side Augsburg, whose attacking production has come alongside defensive problems. Can the hosts take advantage?

Sonnenhof Grossaspach: A Historic Cup Run

Sonnenhof Grossaspach has been inconsistent in Germany’s third tier this season. After 11 matches, the team sits just above the relegation zone with three wins and the league’s worst goal difference. Its results include a 5-1 home loss to Mannheim and a 7-1 away loss to Wehen. Manager Pascal Reinhardt favors a defense-first approach, but his team has conceded heavily both at home and on the road.

Its main success has come in the DFB-Pokal. Sonnenhof Grossaspach advanced past the first round for the first time, beating Arminia Bielefeld 3-0 on penalties after a 2-2 home draw. Goalkeeper Maximilian Reule saved three spot kicks against the second-tier side. Up front, Loris Maier and Fabian Eisele have each recorded four goals and two assists in 11 league matches. The hosts have no reported absences.

Augsburg: Goals at Both Ends

Augsburg has scored regularly without turning those goals into Bundesliga wins. The team is winless in its last five league matches, drawing 2-2 with Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen while losing 3-2 to Werder Bremen and 4-3 to Elversberg. A 1-1 draw with Union Berlin followed last weekend. Augsburg averages 2.19 expected goals (xG) and 2.42 goals per match. Fabian Rieder has two goals and four assists in seven appearances, while Michael Gregoritsch has scored four times in seven matches.

Defense remains a concern. Augsburg’s only clean sheets came in its opening league match and a 2-0 DFB-Pokal win over Energie Cottbus. It has conceded in seven straight games since then, including a 2-2 friendly against Hertha Berlin. Opponents have scored at least twice in five of those games. Injuries have also affected the back line: Noahkai Banks is out, and Calvin Brackelmann joined him on the sidelines after the Union Berlin match.

Predicted Lineup for Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Augsburg

Sonnenhof Grossaspach (4-4-2): Reule; Rahn, Aidonis, Nuray, Molinari; Pollex, Mistl, Kunde, Maier; Eisele, Rossmann

Unavailable: None

Manager: Pascal Reinhardt

Augsburg (3-4-2-1): Dahmen; Bach, Matsima, Gouweleeuw; Wolf, Massengo, Rieder, Behrens; Kade, Ibrahimovic; Gregoritsch

Unavailable: Brackelmann, Claude-Maurice, Sakar, Banks, Mounié (all injured)

Manager: Manuel Baum

Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Augsburg Prediction: Augsburg Handicap -1.5

Main pick: Augsburg has gone five Bundesliga matches without a win, but its attack has remained productive. Baum’s team scored twice from 1.65 xG in its DFB-Pokal win over Energie Cottbus and averages 1.96 xG in away matches. Sonnenhof Grossaspach is likely to defend deep, though that approach did not prevent Arminia Bielefeld from scoring twice in the first round from 1.44 xG. Augsburg should create enough chances to cover the spread. The pick is Augsburg -1.5 at 1.85.

Additional pick: Augsburg allows an average of 2.97 xG and 2.67 goals per Bundesliga away match. It kept a clean sheet against Energie Cottbus, but Energie generated 1.04 xG without scoring. Sonnenhof Grossaspach scored twice against Arminia Bielefeld and could find a goal here as well. The additional pick is both teams to score at 1.85.