Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs 27 October 2026 Prediction

Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs is an all-Canadian matchup in Alberta. Both teams enter on winning streaks, but Toronto sits near the top of the Eastern Conference while Calgary remains outside the playoff spots.

Calgary’s Defense Has Improved

Calgary struggled early in the regular season but has won four of its last five games. The Flames are three points ahead of last-place Vancouver and have two games in hand. They have allowed just four goals over their last three games.

In a 4-1 win over Detroit, Ryan Huska’s team was effective at both ends of the ice. Calgary scored four goals on 16% shooting despite generating just 1.7 expected goals. Detroit generated 3.0 expected goals but beat Devin Cooley only once.

Calgary Predicted Lineup: Cooley (Wolf) — Bahl, Nemec — Farabee, Jones, Coronato

Other Available Players: Defensemen: Middleton, Whitecloud, Kuznetsov, Parekh; forwards: Sharangovich, Frost, Suniev, Gridin, Pospisil, Strome, Othmann, Castagna, Klapka

Unavailable: Honzek, Huberdeau (injured); Backlund (questionable)

Manager: Ryan Huska

Toronto’s Offense Is Producing

Toronto has won four straight and is four points behind Eastern Conference leader Carolina. The Maple Leafs average 3.8 goals per game, one of the highest scoring rates in the NHL.

Toronto beat Edmonton 7-2 in its last game. Jim Hiller’s team was outshot 32-31 but scored on 22.6% of its shots. The Maple Leafs generated 2.7 expected goals, well below their seven-goal total.

Toronto Predicted Lineup: Stolarz (Bobrovsky) — McCabe, Raddysh — Cowan, Matthews, Roslovic

Other Available Players: Defensemen: Rielly, Stecher, Mermis, Ekman-Larsson; forwards: Marchenko, Paul, Nylander, McKenna, Sissons, Lettieri, Duhaime, Blueger, MacEwen

Unavailable: Blankenburg, Wood, Joshua, Domi, Merzlikins, Rifai, Tavares, Tanev (all injured)

Manager: Jim Hiller

Calgary Has Lost Eight Straight to Toronto

The teams last met in February, when Toronto won 4-2. Calgary trailed 3-0 midway through the game and pulled within one, but the Maple Leafs sealed the win with an empty-net goal.

Key Stats

Calgary’s opponents generate 3.6 expected goals per game, the sixth-worst mark in the league.

Toronto has a 13.4% shooting percentage, sixth-best in the NHL.

The Flames allow 1.3 first-period goals per game. Only three teams allow more.

Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction: Toronto Maple Leafs to Win at 2.06

Main prediction: Calgary has lost its last eight meetings with Toronto. The Maple Leafs scored at least four goals in all but one of those games. They have also won four of their last six road games, including preseason play. The pick is Toronto to win at 2.06. Predicted score: 3-5.

Goals prediction: Five of the teams’ last six meetings produced at least seven goals. Toronto’s last three games each featured at least eight. The pick is over 6.5 goals at 2.02.