MatchesSoccerLens - Nantes
FranceLigue 1
Lens
xG 1.03
1 : 0
Finished8 may 18:45
Nantes
1.24 xG
79'Mezian Soares Mesloub

Match statistics

Lens
Nantes
Shots
5off target
on target5
off target6
3on target
63%Ball Possession37%
8Corners3
2Yellow Cards1
4Offsides0
19Throw-ins34
10Goal Kicks6
15Free Kicks15
15Fouls15
1.03Expected Goals (xG)1.24

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Lens vs Nantes 8 May 2026 Public Opinion

Public Opinion
Main Outcomes 98 predictions
Double Chance 56 predictions
Asian Handicap 202 predictions
Teams Totals 104 predictions
Match Total 84 predictions
Both Teams To Score 38 predictions

Prediction Statistics

21 predictions
11
1
9
147
Highest winning odds
Under (2.5)
0
experts profit
0
author profit
0
pro profit
-3 300
cappers profit

Lens vs Nantes 08 May 2026 User Predictions and Betting Tips

Who Cares
8 may at 09:06
-154
UNDER (3.5).
under 3.5 goals looks like a solid option: Lens usually plays in a controlled and organized way at home & Nantes is often cautious in away matches and does not score many goals consistently. 1:0, 2:0 or 2:1 seem likely imo
Musa Mubanda
7 may at 13:12
133
OVER (3.5).
Lens at home usually set a strong tempo, and this feels worth waiting for if you want goals. Over 3.5 is a selective angle at the price, though it still needs the game to open up properly.
Xander Gutierrez
7 may at 12:52
-161
UNDER (3.5).
Lens have enough control and home rhythm to keep this one tight, and Nantes’ recent away pattern points towards a slower scoring tempo. Under 3.5 fits the total line well, with a match more likely to be decided by defensive shape than an open shootout.
Eddie Lowe
7 may at 12:38
-137
HANDICAP 2 (1.5).
Lens at home usually controls the tempo well, and Nantes have been fragile away, so the value still leans toward the visitors covering a bigger line. A +1.5 handicap on Nantes gives some margin if Lens win narrowly, which feels realistic in a tight Ligue 1 game.
Paul Nix
7 may at 12:30
-137
HANDICAP 2 (1.5).
Lens at home looks the stronger side and the rhythm there is usually good, but Nantes can still stay in the game with pressure and a compact block. With the line at +1.5 for the away side, it has some value if Nantes avoid getting broken early, so I lean to Nantes keeping this reasonably tight.
Sammy Scott
7 may at 12:14
111
HANDICAP 1 (-1.5).
Lens at home looks a fair bit stronger here, and with Nantes down near the wrong end plus the short turnaround, the -1.5 line has a bit of value if the hosts get on top early. It’s a tidy price for a side that should have the tempo and quality to put this away by a couple.
Bob Ward
7 may at 11:46
133
OVER (3.5).
Lens have the edge at home and Nantes have been leaking chances on the road. Over 3.5 is a decent line at this price, enough for me.
Rodney Sawyer
7 may at 11:33
133
OVER (3.5).
Lens have the stronger structure at home and Nantes still look a bit fragile away. Over 3.5 goals is a higher line, but with Lens pushing hard and Nantes needing points, the tempo can open up and give value.
Darrell Jackson
7 may at 11:26
-233
WINNER 1.
Lens look the likelier side here, with home advantage and a stronger overall profile, so the favourite at this price has sensible appeal. Nantes have been a patchy side away from home, and Lens should have enough control to get the job done.
Sean Young
7 may at 11:13
-105
UNDER (3).
Lens have the stronger profile at home, and Nantes usually make this a controlled game rather than an open one. Under 3 goals looks a fair price.

Standings

# Team
Form
1.Paris Saint-Germain
32
23
4
5
71:27
73
2.Lens
32
21
4
7
62:33
67
3.Lille
33
18
7
8
52:35
61
4.Olympique Lyon
33
18
6
9
53:36
60
5.Stade Rennes
33
17
8
8
58:47
59
6.Olympique Marseille
33
17
5
11
60:44
56
7.Monaco
33
16
6
11
56:49
54
8.Strasbourg Alsace
32
13
8
11
51:42
47
9.Lorient
33
11
12
10
48:49
45
10.Toulouse
33
12
8
13
47:46
44
11.Paris
33
10
11
12
45:49
41
12.Stade Brest
32
10
8
14
41:52
38
13.Angers
33
9
8
16
28:47
35
14.Havre
33
6
14
13
30:44
32
15.Auxerre
33
7
10
16
32:44
31
16.Nice
33
7
10
16
37:60
31
17.Nantes
33
5
8
20
29:52
23
18.Metz
33
3
7
23
32:76
16
  • UEFA Champions League
  • Qualification Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Europa Conference League
  • Relegation playoffs
  • Relegation

Recent Matches

Lens113 matches
40%
2 wins
40%
2 draws
20%
1 loss
Nantes105 matches
20%
1 win
20%
1 draw
60%
3 losses

Trends and Streaks in Ligue 1

-227
Team 1 Over (1.5)
Lens has played 5 home matches in a row on individual total over 1.5 goals
-132
Team 2 Yellow Cards Under (2.5)
Lens's opponents have played 9 of last 10 away games on individual total under 2.5 yellow cards
Lens's opponents have played 8 of last 10 games on individual total under 2.5 yellow cards
Lens's opponents have played 12 of last 15 games on individual total under 2.5 yellow cards
Lens's opponents have played 12 of last 15 away games on individual total under 2.5 yellow cards
Lens's opponents have played 16 of last 20 games on individual total under 2.5 yellow cards
Lens's opponents have played 16 of last 20 away games on individual total under 2.5 yellow cards
-200
Over (2.5)
Lens has played 5 home games in a row on total over 2.5 goals
Lens has played 8 of their last 10 games on total over 2.5 goals
-164
Under (3.5)
Nantes has played 5 away matches in row on total under 3.5 goals
Nantes has played 9 of their last 10 games on total under 3.5 goals
Nantes has played 8 of their last 10 away games on total under 3.5 goals
Nantes has played 12 of their last 15 away games on total under 3.5 goals
Nantes has played 12 of their last 15 games on total under 3.5 goals
Nantes has played 16 of their last 20 matches on total under 3.5 goals
Nantes has played 16 of their last 20 away matches on total under 3.5 goals
-149
Handicap 2 (1.5)
Nantes has won 9 of their last 10 matches with a 1.5 handicap on goals
Lens's opponents have won 8 of their last 10 away matches with a 1.5 handicap on goals
Lens's opponents have won 12 of their last 15 away matches with a 1.5 handicap on goals
Lens's opponents have won 16 of their last 20 away matches with a 1.5 handicap on goals
Nantes has won 12 of their last 15 matches with a 1.5 handicap on goals
Nantes has won 16 of their last 20 away matches with a 1.5 handicap on goals

Lens vs Nantes 8 May 2026 Prediction

Only a very unlikely scenario can help Pierre Sage’s team move ahead of PSG at the top of Ligue 1. Still, the main news for Lens fans is already positive: the club officially secured its return to the Champions League after Round 32.

The home side has reason to be satisfied, while Nantes are close to relegation. Only a win at Bollaert-Delelis would keep the Yellow and Greens in the fight to stay up. Can they remain in contention?

Lens Are Very Strong at Bollaert-Delelis

Over the full season, Lens were not able to stay level with the league’s strongest team. Their away form has been a problem this spring, with three draws and two defeats in their last five road matches. Still, Lens can finish the season with another major result, as they have reached the Coupe de France final.

Their high league position has been built largely on their home form. Sage’s team has won 13 of 15 Ligue 1 matches at home. With 39 points earned on home field, Lens have the best home record in France.

Nantes Reacted Too Late

Vahid Halilhodzic earned his first win since returning to the club. It was an impressive result, as Nantes beat Marseille 3-0 with a strong second-half performance.

However, this improvement in attack may have come too late. Nantes are five points behind 16th place with only two rounds left, which is a difficult gap to close. The schedule also does not help, as they now visit Bollaert-Delelis, where they have not won since 2013.

Predicted Lineup: Lens vs Nantes

Lens (3-4-3): Risser – Sarr, Baidoo, Ganeou – Aguilar, Haidara, Bulatovic, Yudol – Sima, Edouard, Said

Out: Gradit, Gurtner (both injured), Sangare, Thomasson (both yellow-card suspension), Abdulhamid (suspended), Thauvin, Saint-Maximin (both not in the squad)

Manager: Pierre Sage

Nantes (4-2-3-1): Carlgren – Guilbert, Awaziem, Youssef, Cozza – Sissoko, Lepenant – Leroux, Kaba, Abline – Ganago

Out: Amian-Adou, Centonze, Tati (all injured), Lopes, Machado (both questionable)

Manager: Vahid Halilhodzic

Referee

Mathieu Vernice

The 32-year-old referee is one of the stricter officials in Ligue 1. Nantes have already seen this directly, as Vernice showed at least four yellow cards in all three matches involving the Canaries. He also ranks second in the league for average fouls called per game.

  • 13 Ligue 1 matches officiated in the 2025/26 season
  • Average: 4.4 yellow cards and 28.1 fouls per match
  • 4 red cards shown (31%)
  • 6 penalties awarded (31%)

Stats and Trends

Lens have had more corners than their opponents in 9 of their last 10 league matches, averaging 7.4 corners per game. Nantes have lost the corner count in 9 of their last 11 matches, averaging 4.7 corners per game. Lens -2.5 on corners looks like a reasonable option.

At least four yellow cards were shown in 21 of Nantes’ 32 league matches and in 21 of Lens’ 31 matches. Over 3.5 total yellow cards is also worth considering.

Lens vs Nantes Prediction: Lens -1.5 at 2.00

Main Pick: Lens will be without two starting central midfielders because of yellow-card suspensions, which makes the task slightly more difficult. Even so, the home side remains the clear favorite.

Since beating Marseille 2-0 away on January 4, Nantes have not won another road match, taking only two draws. During that stretch, they lost away to every top-half opponent they faced. Lens, meanwhile, have been convincing at home against teams outside the top 10 this spring, beating Angers 5-1 and Metz 3-0. The recommended pick is Lens -1.5 at 2.00.

Goals Pick: Lens are not as reliable defensively as they were in the first half of the season. They have conceded in six straight league matches. Nantes have also scored in four of their last five away head-to-head meetings with Lens. Both Teams To Score — Yes at 1.75 is worth considering.

Correct Score Pick: Lens may have become less solid defensively, but they remain dangerous in attack. They have scored at least three goals in four of their last five Ligue 1 home matches. In addition, Lens have scored at least three times in each of their last three home meetings with Nantes at Bollaert-Delelis. The correct score pick is 3-1 at 10.00.

Editor’s pick

Lens -1.5@100
3
1

This editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered betting advice. Please do your own research before placing a bet.

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