Seattle Storm (W) vs Phoenix Mercury (W) 4 June 2026 Prediction

The matchup features the two weakest teams in the Western Conference, as Seattle Storm take on Phoenix Mercury. Phoenix, last year’s finalist, has been far from that level this season. So which team will end its losing streak: Seattle or Phoenix?

Seattle Storm

Storm are not expected to do much in this regular season, as the roster is missing five of last season’s six leading scorers. In the current situation, the Seattle team has lost three straight games by wide margins and struggled even against less dangerous opponents such as Mystics (64-78) and Tempo (72-93).

Phoenix Mercury

The situation around Mercury is very difficult: they have lost eight of their last nine games. They are currently on a six-game losing streak. A tough schedule can partly explain it, but Phoenix also failed to handle mid-table opponents such as Toronto (90-98) and Los Angeles (88-97).

Head-to-Head Statistics

Last season, the teams split their head-to-head meetings with two wins each.

Seattle vs Phoenix Prediction: Phoenix -4.5 Handicap at 1.77

• Main prediction: Yes, last year’s Mercury finalists have dropped off despite keeping much of the same core. Still, their roster looks stronger than Storm’s, as Seattle are without key players Ogwumike, Diggins, Sykes, Williams, and Wheeler. Phoenix also look better offensively, averaging 83 points per game compared to Seattle’s 76.4. We are backing Phoenix -3.5 handicap at 1.77.  
• Total prediction: Both teams rarely win, but their games in this type of matchup often produce solid scoring numbers. For example, the 165+ total points mark has been reached in two of Storm’s last three games and in both recent Mercury games. The pick to consider is Over 164.5 total points at 1.86.