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MatchesSoccerLevante UD - Athletic Bilbao
SpainLa Liga
Levante UD
Levante UD
18:00
21 oct
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao

Levante UD vs Athletic Bilbao 21 October 2026 Prediction

Gevorg Danielyan   Prediction by   Gevorg Danielyan     October 20, 2026 

The rescheduled La Liga Matchday 6 fixture features two teams in contrasting form. Levante are looking to end a lengthy winless run, while Athletic Club have improved after a poor start. The Basque side have struggled in attack, and several potential absences could make matters worse.

Levante Still Struggling in Defense

After a 5-2 win over Real Betis, Levante's form declined. The Valencia-based side are winless in their last five league matches, conceding 11 goals during that stretch. Defense remains their main problem, regularly undermining the work of the attack. Levante have been productive at home, scoring 10 goals in three league games this season, an average of 3.33 per 90 minutes. Their offense now faces a difficult test against one of the league's strongest defensive teams.

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Levante have no major new injury concerns. Midfielder Hugo Sotelo and backup goalkeeper Alejandro Primo remain sidelined. Forward Karl Etta Eyong is getting closer to returning and has resumed partial training with the first team. His availability for this match remains uncertain, but his return would strengthen an attack that has already performed well at home.

Athletic Club Prioritizes Defensive Stability

After losing their first two league matches, Athletic Club improved and went unbeaten in the next five. Their defense has been the main reason for that run. The Basque side conceded only once and recorded four clean sheets. However, goals have been difficult to find recently. Edin Terzic's team scored only once in its last three matches, while the games against Alaves and Valencia both ended 0-0. Levante's defensive problems give Athletic Club an opportunity to improve those attacking numbers.

Several absences could complicate that task. Attacking midfielder Oihan Sancet will miss the match with a soleus injury. Nico Williams has returned to team training and could make the squad, although his availability remains uncertain. Gorka Guruzeta injured his knee against Valencia and had to leave the field early. He is also unlikely to play. Terzic could therefore be without several important attacking players, adding to the team's scoring concerns.

Levante vs Athletic Club Predicted Lineup

Levante (4-1-4-1): Ryan; Toljan, De la Fuente, Mandi, M. Sánchez; Rey; V. García, Olasagasti, Bardeli, Fernández; I. Romero

Team News: Primo, Sotelo (injured); Eyong (doubtful)

Manager: Luís Castro

Athletic Club (4-2-3-1): Simón; Areso, Paredes, Laporte, Berchiche; De Galarreta, Jauregizar; Navarro, Canales, Berenguer; I. Williams

Team News: Sancet, Egiluz (injured); N. Williams, Guruzeta, Louis-Jean (doubtful)

Manager: Edin Terzic

Referee: Alejandro Quintero González

Quintero González has officiated three La Liga matches this season, averaging 3.0 yellow cards and 25.56 fouls per game. His yellow-card average is down from 5.0 last season. However, he has already shown two red cards and awarded two penalties in those three appearances.

Levante vs Athletic Club Prediction: Athletic Club to Win

Main Prediction: Athletic Club are unbeaten in their last 11 meetings with Levante across all competitions, winning seven of those matches inside 90 minutes. They also enter this game on a five-match unbeaten run, with four clean sheets during that stretch. Levante, by contrast, have gone five games without a win and conceded 11 goals. Based on the difference in defensive form and the head-to-head record, the pick is Athletic Club to win at 2.18.

Goals Prediction: Despite their recent scoring problems, Athletic Club can take advantage of a Levante defense that has conceded 11 goals in five matches. Levante have also scored at least twice in each of their three home league games this season. Those fixtures produced 19 total goals, an average of 6.33 per game. In addition, two of the last three head-to-head meetings featured at least four goals. The secondary pick is over 2.5 goals at 1.92.

Editor’s pick

Athletic Club to win@118
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This editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered betting advice. Please do your own research before placing a bet.

User Gevorg Danielyan’s avatar
Gevorg DanielyanGevorg Danielyan is a sports writer and betting analyst at Tipsters with more than 15 years of personal experience in sports betting. A lifelong sports fan with a particular passion for football, he has worked with several major sports media outlets before joining Tipsters as a prediction author. His approach is built around detailed match analysis, including team form, lineups, injuries, tactical matchups, motivation and other factors that can influence the result. Having followed and participated in sports betting since 2010, Gevorg combines practical betting experience with an editorial approach to explain the reasoning behind every prediction.
Written September 14, 2026

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Match Info

Ciutat de Valencia
Spain
Valencia26 354
Sunnypressure767mmHgtemperature21°Cwind4.3m/shumidity59%

Levante UD vs Athletic Bilbao 21 October 2026 Public Opinion

Public Opinion Browse all match signals
Main Outcomes 102 predictions
Double Chance 11 predictions
Match Total 25 predictions
Both Teams To Score 21 predictions
Asian Handicap 15 predictions
Team 1 Total 3 predictions
Team 2 Total 7 predictions
Total Corners 7 predictions
Correct Score 7 predictions
Yellow Cards Total 5 predictions
Yellow Cards 1X2 4 predictions
1st Half Total 3 predictions
Team Corner Totals 2 predictions
Corners. 1X2 1 predictions
2nd Half Total 0 predictions
Yellow Cards Team Totals 0 predictions

Match referee & statistics

Spain
Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez Referee
Tournament
Season

La Liga · 2026/2027

Averages per match
Matches
3
in this selection
Yellow cards
3.00
per match
Red cards
1.00
per match
Penalties
0.67
per match
Fouls
25.67
per match

Season by season

3 seasons

La Liga · Yellow cards per match

Tournament average · 4.80

Select a bar to view that season. A dash means no data.

Against the overall average

Selected Overall average
Yellow cards-2.12
3.00
5.12
Red cards+0.77
1.00
0.23
Penalties+0.34
0.67
0.33
Fouls-2.81
25.67
28.48

Based on 120 matches. This referee’s average across all tournaments.

Average Team Stats in La Liga (26/27)

Average stats
Levante UD
Levante UD
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
Goals
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
0.86
Corners
3.50
6.14
Fouls
9.88
11.71
Offsides
1.13
1.43
Attacks
87.75
102.00
Dangerous attacks
37.50
52.86
Tackles
18.88
16.14
Interceptions
8.63
11.86
Clean sheets, %
25.00
57.14
Ball possession, %
43.88
53.86
Average rating
6.72
6.85

Head-to-Head

Levante UD
Levante UD
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
0% 0 wins
20% 1 draw
80% 4 wins
User ’s avatar
Gevorg Danielyan :

Athletic Bilbao won both 2025–26 La Liga meetings, and the xG supports their edge in chance quality: 2.44–1.20 in their 2-0 win at Levante and 1.74–0.59 in their 4-2 home win. The six goals in the latest meeting came from just 2.33 combined xG, so that scoreline makes the game look more open than the chances suggest. Athletic also won the previous league meeting in 2022, but the two recent games provide the clearest evidence of an advantage.

Recent Matches

Levante UD
Levante UD146 matches
0%
0 wins
60%
3 draws
40%
2 losses
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao176 matches
40%
2 wins
60%
3 draws
0%
0 losses
User ’s avatar
Gevorg Danielyan :

Levante have been outgenerated on xG in all five listed La Liga games, including their three draws. Their 11 goals conceded are close to the 10.92 xG their opponents created, so the winless run is not simply a matter of unfavorable scorelines. Chance creation has varied, though: Levante produced roughly 2.0 xG against both Sevilla and Barcelona but less than 1.0 in each of their other three games.

Athletic Bilbao have led on xG in three of their four league games, but that edge has not consistently produced wins. They drew with Alaves and Elche despite creating 1.80 and 2.17 xG, respectively, and have conceded just once against 3.95 xG allowed across the four games. Their latest 0-0 at Valencia offered a less favorable chance balance, with Athletic trailing 0.75–1.13 on xG.

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