Athletic Bilbao won both 2025–26 La Liga meetings, and the xG supports their edge in chance quality: 2.44–1.20 in their 2-0 win at Levante and 1.74–0.59 in their 4-2 home win. The six goals in the latest meeting came from just 2.33 combined xG, so that scoreline makes the game look more open than the chances suggest. Athletic also won the previous league meeting in 2022, but the two recent games provide the clearest evidence of an advantage.
Levante UD vs Athletic Bilbao 21 October 2026 Prediction
The rescheduled La Liga Matchday 6 fixture features two teams in contrasting form. Levante are looking to end a lengthy winless run, while Athletic Club have improved after a poor start. The Basque side have struggled in attack, and several potential absences could make matters worse.
Levante Still Struggling in Defense
After a 5-2 win over Real Betis, Levante's form declined. The Valencia-based side are winless in their last five league matches, conceding 11 goals during that stretch. Defense remains their main problem, regularly undermining the work of the attack. Levante have been productive at home, scoring 10 goals in three league games this season, an average of 3.33 per 90 minutes. Their offense now faces a difficult test against one of the league's strongest defensive teams.
Levante have no major new injury concerns. Midfielder Hugo Sotelo and backup goalkeeper Alejandro Primo remain sidelined. Forward Karl Etta Eyong is getting closer to returning and has resumed partial training with the first team. His availability for this match remains uncertain, but his return would strengthen an attack that has already performed well at home.
Athletic Club Prioritizes Defensive Stability
After losing their first two league matches, Athletic Club improved and went unbeaten in the next five. Their defense has been the main reason for that run. The Basque side conceded only once and recorded four clean sheets. However, goals have been difficult to find recently. Edin Terzic's team scored only once in its last three matches, while the games against Alaves and Valencia both ended 0-0. Levante's defensive problems give Athletic Club an opportunity to improve those attacking numbers.
Several absences could complicate that task. Attacking midfielder Oihan Sancet will miss the match with a soleus injury. Nico Williams has returned to team training and could make the squad, although his availability remains uncertain. Gorka Guruzeta injured his knee against Valencia and had to leave the field early. He is also unlikely to play. Terzic could therefore be without several important attacking players, adding to the team's scoring concerns.
Levante vs Athletic Club Predicted Lineup
Levante (4-1-4-1): Ryan; Toljan, De la Fuente, Mandi, M. Sánchez; Rey; V. García, Olasagasti, Bardeli, Fernández; I. Romero
Team News: Primo, Sotelo (injured); Eyong (doubtful)
Manager: Luís Castro
Athletic Club (4-2-3-1): Simón; Areso, Paredes, Laporte, Berchiche; De Galarreta, Jauregizar; Navarro, Canales, Berenguer; I. Williams
Team News: Sancet, Egiluz (injured); N. Williams, Guruzeta, Louis-Jean (doubtful)
Manager: Edin Terzic
Referee: Alejandro Quintero González
Quintero González has officiated three La Liga matches this season, averaging 3.0 yellow cards and 25.56 fouls per game. His yellow-card average is down from 5.0 last season. However, he has already shown two red cards and awarded two penalties in those three appearances.
Levante vs Athletic Club Prediction: Athletic Club to Win
Main Prediction: Athletic Club are unbeaten in their last 11 meetings with Levante across all competitions, winning seven of those matches inside 90 minutes. They also enter this game on a five-match unbeaten run, with four clean sheets during that stretch. Levante, by contrast, have gone five games without a win and conceded 11 goals. Based on the difference in defensive form and the head-to-head record, the pick is Athletic Club to win at 2.18.
Goals Prediction: Despite their recent scoring problems, Athletic Club can take advantage of a Levante defense that has conceded 11 goals in five matches. Levante have also scored at least twice in each of their three home league games this season. Those fixtures produced 19 total goals, an average of 6.33 per game. In addition, two of the last three head-to-head meetings featured at least four goals. The secondary pick is over 2.5 goals at 1.92.
Editor’s pick
This editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered betting advice. Please do your own research before placing a bet.
More Top Soccer Matches
Match Info
Levante UD vs Athletic Bilbao 21 October 2026 Public Opinion
Match referee & statistics
La Liga · 2026/2027
Averages per match- Matches
- 3
- in this selection
- Yellow cards
- 3.00
- per match
- Red cards
- 1.00
- per match
- Penalties
- 0.67
- per match
- Fouls
- 25.67
- per match
Season by season
3 seasonsLa Liga · Yellow cards per match
Tournament average · 4.80
Select a bar to view that season. A dash means no data.
Against the overall average
Based on 120 matches. This referee’s average across all tournaments.
Average Team Stats in La Liga (26/27)
Recent Matches
Levante have been outgenerated on xG in all five listed La Liga games, including their three draws. Their 11 goals conceded are close to the 10.92 xG their opponents created, so the winless run is not simply a matter of unfavorable scorelines. Chance creation has varied, though: Levante produced roughly 2.0 xG against both Sevilla and Barcelona but less than 1.0 in each of their other three games.
Athletic Bilbao have led on xG in three of their four league games, but that edge has not consistently produced wins. They drew with Alaves and Elche despite creating 1.80 and 2.17 xG, respectively, and have conceded just once against 3.95 xG allowed across the four games. Their latest 0-0 at Valencia offered a less favorable chance balance, with Athletic trailing 0.75–1.13 on xG.
Before placing a bet, weigh all the risks and your financial capabilities
More Predictions
- Como 1907 vs Manchester United Predictions
- Lille vs Galatasaray Istanbul Predictions
- Bayern Munich vs Arsenal Predictions
- Real Madrid vs Leipzig Predictions
- Club Brugge vs Lens Predictions
- Inter Milano vs Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions
- Aston Villa vs Viking Predictions
- Real Betis vs Feyenoord Rotterdam Predictions
- Sporting Lisbon vs LASK Predictions
- Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Virtus Bologna Predictions
- Buffalo Sabres vs Philadelphia Flyers Predictions
- Ottawa Senators vs Florida Panthers Predictions
- Orlando Magic vs Atlanta Hawks Predictions
- Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks Predictions
- Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Predictions
- Brooklyn Nets vs Charlotte Hornets Predictions
- Juventus Turin vs Stade Rennes Predictions
- OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen Predictions
- Sturm Graz vs Olympique Marseille Predictions
- Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls Predictions
- Ararat Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar Predictions
- Lech Poznan vs Sunderland Predictions
- Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Predictions
- Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz Predictions
- Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen Predictions
- New Orleans Pelicans vs Indiana Pacers Predictions
- Ferencvarosi vs SCU Torreense Predictions
- Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Predictions
- Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Predictions
- Los Angeles Clippers vs Sacramento Kings Predictions
No Comments