Jagiellonia Bialystok vs RSC Anderlecht 22 October 2026 Prediction

  Prediction by   Gevorg Danielyan     October 21, 2026 

Jagiellonia picked up their first Europa League points last round, but their Polish league form continues to decline. Anderlecht have lost both of their games in the competition. Both teams need a result to improve their playoff chances.

Jagiellonia: Defensive Problems Persist

Jagiellonia lost their opening league-phase game to Olympiacos 2-1. Given the 26-4 shot deficit, the score could have been more lopsided. A 3-1 win over Ararat-Armenia kept them in the playoff race, but their domestic form remains a concern. They have lost four straight Polish league games, with no improvement after the international break.

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Jagiellonia have scored no more than once in each of those four league games. They also fell behind against Ararat-Armenia before coming back to win. Their attacking approach has left gaps at the back: they concede 1.53 goals per game across all competitions. Injuries add to the problem. Forward Prelec suffered an ankle ligament injury before the Ararat-Armenia match and will miss several weeks. Starting right back Norbert Wojtuszek is also unavailable, and Rodrigo Conceição is not a like-for-like replacement.

Anderlecht: More Attacking Options Despite Early Losses

Anderlecht have also started the Europa League with two defeats. They lost 2-1 to Lyon and 1-0 to Dinamo Zagreb. Their performance against Lyon was better than the result suggests: Anderlecht led 1.82 to 1.20 in expected goals (xG) and created the better chances.

Domestic results have been stronger. Anderlecht beat Cercle Brugge 2-1, Zulte Waregem 3-0 and Mechelen 1-0 in their last three league games. Those wins showed they can control a game or protect a narrow lead. A recent 2-1 cup loss to Beerschot is less concerning given their league and European priorities. Defensive personnel are a bigger issue. Injuries and fitness concerns involving Biancone, Sardella, Camara and Hey will force the manager to use rotation players at center back and right back.

Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht Predicted Lineup

Jagiellonia (4-3-3): Abramowicz; Conceição, Vital, Kobayashi, Wdowik; Kluenge, Romanczuk, Imaz; Jozwiak, Sow, Szmyt.

Unavailable: Prelec, Wojtuszek (both injured).

Manager: Adrian Siemieniec.

Anderlecht (4-3-3): Coosemans; Barry, Petro, Omobamidele, Reabciuk; De Greef, Osgor, Ambrose; Stroeykens, Cvetkovic, Winkler.

Unavailable: Biancone, Hey (both injured); Sardella, Camara (both questionable).

Manager: Vitor Bruno.

Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht Prediction: Anderlecht to Win at 2.28

Main pick: Anderlecht have the stronger squad and steadier domestic results. Jagiellonia have lost four straight league games, while their 3-1 win over Ararat-Armenia came against the tournament’s least valuable squad by total player value. Anderlecht have enough attacking options to exploit Jagiellonia’s defensive weaknesses. A third consecutive European loss would also hurt the visitors’ playoff chances. The pick is Anderlecht to win at 2.28.

Goals pick: Jagiellonia’s recent games point toward goals. At least three were scored in 11 of their last 15 matches across all competitions, and both teams scored in 11 of those 15. Jagiellonia regularly create chances but leave space at the back. Five of Anderlecht’s last six games have also featured at least three goals. The additional pick is over 2.5 goals at 1.85.