Levante UD vs Sevilla 23 April 2026 Prediction

Levante have improved at home. They have won three of their last four matches there, and Luis Castro’s team now has a realistic chance to stay up. Sevilla also picked up an important result by beating Atletico Madrid 2-1, but their away form remains a major issue.

Levante won the first meeting 3-0 away from home. The question now is whether Sevilla can respond and move further away from the relegation zone, or whether Levante will continue their recent run.

Levante Are Still Competing

The 1-0 win over Getafe in the last round was an important result for Levante. At home, Luis Castro’s team has clearly improved. The structure looks better, the finishing has improved, and the results have followed. Levante have taken 11 points from their last six league matches, which keeps them in the survival race.

For a team near the bottom of the table, Levante have been fairly productive going forward, averaging 1.2 goals per home match. Just as important, the defense has improved, allowing only four goals across the last five home games. The gap to 17th place is now only four points, so the situation is still manageable.

Sevilla Need Bigger Changes

The win over Atletico Madrid was useful, but it should be viewed in context. Diego Simeone rotated heavily and used younger players, and Sevilla still had to work hard for the result. The main positive is that Luis Garcia Plaza’s team finally ended its winless run and got a needed boost.

Even so, Sevilla’s away form has been poor all season. They have taken only six points from their last 10 away league matches. The defensive numbers are even more concerning. Sevilla have allowed 51 goals in 31 league matches, which is the worst record in the division. That explains why the team is still under pressure despite the last win.

Predicted Lineup: Levante vs Sevilla

Levante (4-3-3): Ryan – Toljan, Moreno, De la Fuente, Sanchez – Raguber, Martinez, Olasagasti – Tunde, Espi, Romero

Out: Brugue (injured), Elgezabal (questionable)

Manager: Luis Castro

Sevilla (5-2-2-1): Vlachodimos – Juanlu, Gudelj, Salas, Suazo, Oso – Bueno, Agoume – Romero, Vargas – Adams

Out: Marcao, Azpilicueta (both injured)

Manager: Luis Garcia Plaza

Stats and Trends

Levante average 3.9 corners per match in La Liga this season, while Sevilla average 4.97. Under 9.5 total corners looks like a reasonable option.

Sevilla average 2.68 yellow cards per match, while Levante average 2.19. Over 4.5 total yellow cards is also worth considering.

Best Bet: Levante to Win at 2.57

Main pick: Levante are in better form at home, while Sevilla continue to struggle, with three losses in their last four league matches. It is also worth noting that Levante had little trouble in the first meeting, winning 3-0 away from home. Sevilla still lack consistency and defensive discipline, while Levante are fully focused on staying in the division. Based on the current form and the importance of the match, Levante to win at 2.57 looks like the better option.

Goals pick: Levante do not usually sit back at home. For a team in this position, their attacking numbers are decent, with more than one goal per home match on average. At the same time, clean sheets are still rare. Sevilla have also shown more going forward away from home than their overall record suggests, scoring eight goals in their last six league matches. Both Teams To Score – Yes at 1.87 looks like a good choice.

Correct score pick: This is an important match in the relegation battle. Levante have started to understand that two goals at home often give them a real chance to win. They have scored eight times across their last four home matches. Sevilla arrive with the worst defense in the league, allowing an average of 1.7 goals per La Liga match. Levante should create enough to win, though Sevilla still have a chance to score once. The correct score pick is 2-1 at 9.00.