Ottawa Senators vs San Jose Sharks 22 October 2026 Prediction

Ottawa Senators vs San Jose Sharks brings together teams from opposite conferences. San Jose has struggled to find consistency despite its young forwards, while Ottawa has lost two of its last three games. The Sharks have not won in Ottawa since 2021.

Ottawa's Strong Start in the East

Ottawa has 12 points through nine games, putting it among the Eastern Conference leaders. Its recent results have been less convincing, though. The Senators have lost two of their last three games, including a 7-2 defeat to St. Louis. That result was unusual for a team allowing an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Scoring has been a bigger concern. The Senators have 23 goals in nine games, one of the lowest totals in the league, and their power play is converting at 12.8%.

Ottawa Senators Predicted Lineup: Ullmark (Ersson) — Sanderson, Zub — Zetterlund, Stützle, Giroux

Remaining Roster: Defensemen — Spence, Yakemchuk, Kleven, Crotty; forwards — Foegele, Cozens, Batherson, Greig, Pinto, Amadio, Cousins, Halliday, Hodgson

Unavailable: MacDermid, Eklund, Chabot (all injured)

Manager: Travis Green

San Jose Is Still Seeking Consistency

San Jose has 11 points through 10 games and sits near the playoff cutoff. Its defense remains a problem: the Sharks allow 3.5 goals per game and have not scored enough to offset that consistently. They have scored fewer than two goals three times this season.

The Sharks came back from a 3-1 deficit after two periods to beat Montreal 4-3 in overtime. They scored twice on the power play, and Macklin Celebrini had two goals.

San Jose Sharks Predicted Lineup: Askarov (Nedeljkovic) — Nurse, Kesselring — Chernyshov, Celebrini, Smith

Remaining Roster: Defensemen — Dickinson, Trouba, Allan, Orlov; forwards — Stenberg, Misa, Sherwood, Marchment, Graf, Toffoli, Goodrow, Ostapchuk, Dellandrea

Unavailable: Wennberg (questionable)

Manager: Ryan Warsofsky

Recent Head-to-Head Results

Ottawa's scoring has made the difference in recent meetings. The Senators won the most recent matchup 7-4, scoring on 29.2% of their shots and converting twice on the power play. They scored three goals in a five-minute span during the third period.

Key Stats

San Jose generates 2.6 expected goals per game. Only three teams rank lower.

Ottawa averages 22.4 shots per game, the fourth-lowest mark in the league.

The Sharks allow 1.6 goals per game in the third period. Only Calgary allows more.

Ottawa Senators vs San Jose Sharks Prediction: Ottawa Senators Moneyline at 1.74

Main prediction: Ottawa has won four of its last five home games, including preseason games. San Jose has lost three of its last six road games and scored fewer than two goals in two of them. The Senators have also won the last four meetings in Ottawa. The pick is Ottawa Senators moneyline at 1.74, with a projected score of 3-2.

Goals prediction: Five of Ottawa's last six games and five of San Jose's last eight have featured fewer than six goals. The additional pick is under 5.5 total goals at 2.12.