Al Qadisiyah vs Al Hilal Riyadh 23 October 2026 Prediction

  Prediction by   Gevorg Danielyan     October 22, 2026 

Al-Qadsiah hosts Al-Hilal with both teams in strong form. The hosts have won four of their last five matches, while the visitors have won all five of theirs.

Al-Qadsiah

Al-Qadsiah has four wins and one draw in its last five matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding three. The team kept three clean sheets during that stretch. Its results include wins over Al-Taawoun (1-0), Abha (2-1), Al-Kholood (5-0), and Al-Wasl (2-1), plus a 1-1 draw with Pakhtakor. Al-Qadsiah has also won both of its recent home games, scoring four goals and conceding two.

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The attack was particularly effective against Al-Kholood: 20 shots, nine on target, eight big chances, and 5.18 expected goals (xG). Against Al-Taawoun, Al-Qadsiah took 22 shots and generated 1.78 xG while holding its opponent to six shots and 0.48 xG. Its home performances have been less convincing defensively. In the win over Abha, Al-Qadsiah scored twice from 1.24 xG but allowed 1.70 expected goals against (xGA).

Al-Hilal

Al-Hilal has won its last five matches, scoring 14 goals and conceding three. Those wins came against Al-Hazem (1-0), Al-Sadd (2-0), Al-Ittihad (3-2), Al-Gharafa (2-1), and Al-Taawoun (6-0). The team won both of its recent away games by a combined score of 8-0.

The latest win, against Al-Hazem, was less convincing than the result suggests. Al-Hilal had 37% possession, managed five shots, and generated just 0.16 xG while allowing 21 shots and 2.89 xGA. Its goalkeeper made four saves. The attack had been much more productive in earlier games, recording 20 shots and 4.60 xG against Al-Taawoun, 17 shots against Al-Sadd, and eight chances created against Al-Gharafa. Al-Hilal remains a strong scoring side, though it has allowed opponents plenty of opportunities in some matches.

Stats and Trends

The teams have scored 18 goals across their last five head-to-head meetings, an average of 3.6 per game. The two most recent meetings both ended 2-2, and four of the five featured at least two goals. Al-Hilal averages three goals per game, rising to four in away matches. Al-Qadsiah averages 2.4 goals per game and 2.2 at home. The listed goals-against averages are close: Al-Hilal concedes 0.25 per away game, compared with Al-Qadsiah’s 0.2 at home.

Al-Qadsiah vs Al-Hilal Prediction: Both Teams to Score

Al-Qadsiah has scored 11 goals in its last five matches, including four across its two recent home games. Al-Hilal has won both of its recent away games without conceding, but the chances it allowed against Al-Hazem show that its defense can be tested. With both teams scoring regularly and their last two meetings ending 2-2, the pick is Both Teams to Score: Yes at 1.40.