Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers 22 October 2026 Prediction

Toronto and New York are separated by just three points in the standings. The Rangers have been more consistent, while the Maple Leafs are still looking for their best form. Toronto has won two straight, but New York presents a tougher test.

Toronto Is Still Looking for Consistency

Toronto has plenty of talent, but manager Jim Hiller’s team has lost three of its last five games despite a 6-3 win over Colorado. The offense has produced; the defense remains a concern. The Maple Leafs have allowed fewer than three goals only three times this season.

Toronto beat Columbus 6-2 in its last game. The Maple Leafs were outshot 35-22 but scored six goals on 3.1 expected goals. Kirill Marchenko scored on the power play in his first game back in Columbus since his trade.

Toronto Predicted Lineup: Stolarz (Akhtyamov) — Rielly, Raddysh — Cowan, Matthews, Roslovic

Other Available Players: Defensemen — Blankenburg, Stecher, Rifai, Ekman-Larsson; forwards — Marchenko, Paul, Nylander, McKenna, Sissons, Lettieri, Duhaime, Blueger, MacEwen

Out: Domi, Merzlikins, Joshua, Tanev, Wood, Tavares (all injured); McCabe (questionable)

Manager: Jim Hiller

Rangers Near the Top of the Eastern Conference

New York has 15 points through 11 games and sits near the top of the Eastern Conference. The Rangers lost consecutive games to New Jersey (7-1) and Columbus (1-0 in overtime), then responded with a 5-2 win over Anaheim. Mike Sullivan’s team generated 4.5 expected goals in that victory.

Dylan Garand has played well in Igor Shesterkin’s absence. The 24-year-old goalie has a .929 save percentage this season and has allowed three goals over his last two games. New York has also gone six straight games without allowing a power-play goal.

Rangers Predicted Lineup: Garand (Martin) — Gavrikov, Fox — Perreault, Zibanejad, Lafrenière

Other Available Players: Defensemen — Pettersson, Durzi, Schmitz, Schneider; forwards — Cartier, Miller, Dorofeyev, Cuylle, Laba, Tolvanen, Bjorkstrand, Dowling, Raddysh

Out: Sýkora, Korpisalo, Veleno, Shesterkin (all injured)

Manager: Mike Sullivan

Each Team Won at Home in March

The teams met twice in March and split the games, with each winning at home. In their most recent meeting, Toronto built a three-goal lead by the 25th minute. New York scored twice on the power play to pull within one, but John Tavares added a third-period goal to secure a 4-3 Maple Leafs win.

Key Stats

Toronto’s opponents average about 29.5 shots per game, the sixth-lowest figure in the NHL.

The Rangers allow an average of 0.3 first-period goals per game, the fewest in the league.

The Maple Leafs take about four penalties per game. Only five teams take more.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers Prediction: Maple Leafs Moneyline at 1.90

Main prediction: Toronto has won four of the last five meetings. The Maple Leafs have been inconsistent at home, but the Rangers have lost five of their last seven road games and were shut out twice in that span. The pick is Toronto to win, including overtime or a shootout, at 1.90. A 4-3 Toronto win is a possible exact-score pick.

Goals prediction: At least seven goals were scored in four of Toronto’s last six games and four of New York’s last seven. Both of the teams’ last two meetings also cleared that mark. The pick is over 6.5 total goals at 2.08.