Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Maritimo Madeira 23 October 2026 Prediction

Vitória Guimarães vs Marítimo is scheduled for October 23, 2026. Vitória Guimarães has won two of its last five matches, while Marítimo has one win and three losses over the same span. The recent head-to-head record also favors the home side.

Vitória Guimarães has two wins, one draw, and two losses in its last five matches. It beat Recreativa de Lamelas and Chaves 1-0, drew 1-1 with Moreirense, and lost 2-0 to Benfica and 2-1 to Académico de Viseu. Vitória scored three goals and conceded four across those games. Neither win came by more than one goal, but the team kept a clean sheet in both.

Vitória had 20 shots, including 12 on target, and 68% possession against Recreativa de Lamelas. Against Moreirense, it managed seven shots, three on target, and no corners to its opponent’s one. Its listed recent home result is a 1-1 draw. Broader home figures show two goals scored and two conceded, although the reported 100% clean-sheet rate conflicts with those totals.

Marítimo has one win, one draw, and three losses in its last five matches. It beat FC Alcochetense 2-1, lost 2-1 to Porto, drew 1-1 with Gil Vicente, then lost 3-1 to Moreirense and 3-0 to Benfica. Marítimo scored five goals and conceded eight during that stretch. Its away results include the win over FC Alcochetense, one draw, and two losses, with eight goals conceded across those road games.

Marítimo created chances against Porto, recording 19 shots, nine on target, five big chances, and 2.32 expected goals, but lost 2-1. Against Moreirense, it had 62% possession yet took only nine shots and conceded three goals. Chance creation has not been enough to offset its defensive problems.

Stats and Trends

Vitória Guimarães is unbeaten in the last five head-to-head meetings, with four wins, one draw, and a 6-2 aggregate score. It won three of the four meetings it hosted, while Marítimo failed to score in three of the five games. Every meeting finished with three goals or fewer, and four had no more than two.

Vitória averages 0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded at home. Marítimo averages 1.25 scored and 1.75 conceded away. Marítimo has generated chances recently, but it has also conceded more frequently.

Vitória Guimarães vs Marítimo Prediction: Vitória Guimarães to Win

Vitória Guimarães has won four of the last five meetings and has the stronger home defensive numbers. Its limited scoring makes a high-scoring game less likely. Marítimo can create chances, as it showed against Porto, but it has lost three of its last five matches and conceded eight goals in that span. Its away defensive record gives Vitória the edge. The main pick is Vitória Guimarães to win.